{ "ticker": { "uuid": "230487b5-cdda-4cd2-89ff-85dabf42e447", "symbol": "KRC", "name": "Kilroy Realty Corp", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 50.38, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.385, "architecture_energy": 50.494, "architecture_maturity": 35.061, "architecture_confidence": 65.67, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.68, "rotation_up": 53.21, "upward_expansion": 81.35, "deceleration": 64.51, "rotation_down": 24.7, "downward_expansion": 8.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 38.819333, 38.621875, 36.911269, 35.25706 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 37.97, "trend_reference": 33.849663, "distance_from_trend": 0.121725, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 33.356941, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.138294, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.845876, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.105624, "excess_performance": -0.020001, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.121725, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009465, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.138294, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.078238, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.068459, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.066004, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.105624, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.944349, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5392424, "relative_activity": 0.641466, "balance": 0.944349, "dry_up": 0.799947, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063816, "annualized_volatility": 0.31778, "from_high_reference": -0.117083, "from_low_reference": 0.391972 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.849663, "fair_value_reference": 33.356941, "structural_low": 27.277843, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.007129, "positive_rate": 0.3125, "directional_follow_through": 0.3125, "median_excess_return": -0.027061, "regime_survival": 0.5625, "best_return": 0.129331, "worst_return": -0.205739, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.06983, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.066519, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 0.164658, "worst_return": -0.253059, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.048941, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.138984, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.019852, "worst_return": -0.299039, "sufficient": true }, { 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"modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.61513, "energy": 75.946639, "activity_lines": [ 39.295972, 38.312503, 36.100231, 34.672176 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 38.82, "volume": 9058831, "typical_volume": 8643374.1, "trend": 33.88738, "fair_value": 33.31289, "relative_strength": -1.710256, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.359792, "energy": 56.077767, "activity_lines": [ 39.243333, 38.59294, 36.572072, 34.993666 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 37.97, "volume": 5392424, "typical_volume": 8406403.9, "trend": 33.849663, "fair_value": 33.356941, "relative_strength": -6.845876, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.384665, "energy": 50.494494, "activity_lines": [ 38.819333, 38.621875, 36.911269, 35.25706 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }