{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "230d1721-7e20-4fb3-bd78-a2e0f7fe9ea1",
    "symbol": "CCG",
    "name": "Comms Group Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 64.899,
    "architecture_energy": 66.122,
    "architecture_maturity": 39.749,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.864,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.26,
        "rotation_up": 70.83,
        "upward_expansion": 86.03,
        "deceleration": 52.93,
        "rotation_down": 12.56,
        "downward_expansion": 12.69
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.0846,
        0.082373,
        0.07814,
        0.075214
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.084,
    "trend_reference": 0.071681,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.171866,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.062466,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.344732,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 16.667777,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.337069,
    "excess_performance": 0.273363,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.171866,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061764,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.344732,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.150695,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.166678,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.019913,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.337069,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.259937,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 858146,
      "relative_activity": 0.679164,
      "balance": 3.259937,
      "dry_up": 0.842793,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.059524,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.371671,
      "from_high_reference": -0.076923,
      "from_low_reference": 0.618404
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.071681,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.062466,
      "structural_low": 0.06,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": -0.006407,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.020621,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.235949,
        "worst_return": -0.243597,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.044772,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.020003,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.180314,
        "worst_return": -0.220786,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.077838,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.093859,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.206889,
        "worst_return": -0.324197,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.184807,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.291853,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.12644,
        "worst_return": -0.285722,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-01-05",
        "end": "2024-01-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.076926,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-01-19",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.055545,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.152546,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "relative_strength": 27.096482,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1296793.05,
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        "relative_strength": 33.33495,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 89.996703,
        "energy": 95.277776,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 1084023,
        "typical_volume": 1320532.9,
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        "fair_value": 0.062302,
        "relative_strength": 26.509965,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 88.453135,
        "activity_lines": [
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          0.076201,
          0.07358
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.083,
        "volume": 401000,
        "typical_volume": 1301689.3,
        "trend": 0.071106,
        "fair_value": 0.062381,
        "relative_strength": 19.740741,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.668687,
        "energy": 87.016563,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.084867,
          0.081418,
          0.077162,
          0.074383
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.084,
        "volume": 858146,
        "typical_volume": 1263533.7,
        "trend": 0.071681,
        "fair_value": 0.062466,
        "relative_strength": 16.667777,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.899134,
        "energy": 66.122404,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0846,
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          0.075214
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}