{ "ticker": { "uuid": "231006cc-9a48-40d6-9ca0-a344e86c847d", "symbol": "UNCY", "name": "Unicycive Therapeutics Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.642, "architecture_energy": 62.059, "architecture_maturity": 20.814, "architecture_confidence": 87.483, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.68, "rotation_up": 11.48, "upward_expansion": 12.83, "deceleration": 39.23, "rotation_down": 72.58, "downward_expansion": 90.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.170667, 5.582727, 6.311524, 6.503656 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 5.07, "trend_reference": 6.629, "distance_from_trend": -0.235179, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.709638, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.244371, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.275646, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.242152, "excess_performance": -0.429606, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.235179, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008724, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.244371, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.337363, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.252756, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.403785, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.242152, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.556415, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3286430, "relative_activity": 0.58351, "balance": 0.556415, "dry_up": 0.724792, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.249819, "annualized_volatility": 0.492861, "from_high_reference": -0.419908, "from_low_reference": 0.366577 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.629, "fair_value_reference": 6.709638, "structural_low": 3.93, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.025125, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.015462, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 2.943396, "worst_return": -0.291512, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.256842, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.26702, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 2.265306, "worst_return": -0.3875, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.710714, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.545944, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.110164, "worst_return": 0.342493, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"green", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.244622, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.000326, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.056019, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.130952, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.168831, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.103555, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"close": 5.38, "volume": 4934135, "typical_volume": 5399328.65, "trend": 6.714667, "fair_value": 6.813112, "relative_strength": -17.750086, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.91972, "energy": 52.007593, "activity_lines": [ 5.736, 6.327818, 6.791667, 6.799978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.4, "volume": 3528742, "typical_volume": 5429808.8, "trend": 6.692333, "fair_value": 6.773337, "relative_strength": -15.978255, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.813832, "energy": 57.629585, "activity_lines": [ 5.516, 6.069818, 6.64781, 6.715161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.01, "volume": 4579322, "typical_volume": 5566627.2, "trend": 6.666, "fair_value": 6.730452, "relative_strength": -22.420309, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.042219, "energy": 68.72893, "activity_lines": [ 5.262667, 5.792909, 6.472476, 6.606624 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.07, "volume": 3286430, "typical_volume": 5632174.4, "trend": 6.629, "fair_value": 6.709638, "relative_strength": -25.275646, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.641878, "energy": 62.059385, "activity_lines": [ 5.170667, 5.582727, 6.311524, 6.503656 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }