{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2321c3e6-4700-4ce1-b252-52d4457aa5c5", "symbol": "EIMT", "name": "WisdomTree Industrial Metals - EUR Daily Hedged", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 58.208, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 41.96, "architecture_energy": 23.605, "architecture_maturity": 29.041, "architecture_confidence": 62.594, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.91, "rotation_up": 43.19, "upward_expansion": 57.93, "deceleration": 69.05, "rotation_down": 19.22, "downward_expansion": 17.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.686267, 9.624509, 9.714019, 9.648432 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 9.877, "trend_reference": 9.5515, "distance_from_trend": 0.034078, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.225431, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.200788, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.82074, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.07312, "excess_performance": -0.097771, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.034078, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038715, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.200788, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030195, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.058207, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.07528, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.07312, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.836916, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3743, "relative_activity": 0.269474, "balance": 4.836916, "dry_up": 0.564489, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.02359, "annualized_volatility": 0.149713, "from_high_reference": -0.049191, "from_low_reference": 0.294835 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.5515, "fair_value_reference": 8.225431, "structural_low": 8.68, "invalidation": "A sustained loss 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"2025-04-04", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.01855, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.01889, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.074799, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.097498, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.047028, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.039263, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"activity_lines": [ 9.5004, 9.697636, 9.703324, 9.607394 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 9.455, "volume": 3787, "typical_volume": 15979.75, "trend": 9.479767, "fair_value": 8.185912, "relative_strength": -6.96898, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.272489, "energy": 36.974415, "activity_lines": [ 9.4524, 9.631982, 9.688324, 9.607596 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.588, "volume": 12692, "typical_volume": 15579.95, "trend": 9.508367, "fair_value": 8.197309, "relative_strength": -5.258406, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.694319, "energy": 29.261753, "activity_lines": [ 9.484533, 9.598727, 9.685629, 9.614578 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.688, "volume": 11141, "typical_volume": 15635.8, "trend": 9.5319, "fair_value": 8.209963, "relative_strength": -4.908127, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.426381, "energy": 12.312143, "activity_lines": [ 9.563867, 9.590473, 9.691633, 9.626168 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.877, "volume": 3743, "typical_volume": 13890.0, "trend": 9.5515, "fair_value": 8.225431, "relative_strength": -5.82074, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.959892, "energy": 23.605406, "activity_lines": [ 9.686267, 9.624509, 9.714019, 9.648432 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }