{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2324bdd1-1508-4e82-8596-11da08de8e8a", "symbol": "KSM-F14", "name": "KSM Mutual Funds Ltd. - KSM ETF (4D) Bloomberg Brent Crude", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.854, "architecture_energy": 71.211, "architecture_maturity": 57.0, "architecture_confidence": 89.969, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.42, "rotation_up": 27.89, "upward_expansion": 26.68, "deceleration": 48.8, "rotation_down": 46.91, "downward_expansion": 72.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.272193, 26.325776, 790.499723, 1276.602548 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 26.374099, "trend_reference": 1716.877543, "distance_from_trend": -0.984638, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2044.519712, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.9871, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -98.661085, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.986238, "excess_performance": -1.015139, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.984638, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.254621, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.9871, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.321133, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.986611, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.033001, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.986238, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.384418, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 79479, "relative_activity": 0.729843, "balance": 1.384418, "dry_up": 1.177739, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 10.203091, "annualized_volatility": 6.331484, "from_high_reference": -0.992127, "from_low_reference": 0.17287 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1716.877543, "fair_value_reference": 2044.519712, 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"fair_value": 2058.475326, "relative_strength": -98.625494, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.189485, "energy": 66.476647, "activity_lines": [ 27.244353, 74.217618, 943.748534, 1389.434396 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.374099, "volume": 79479, "typical_volume": 108898.7, "trend": 1716.877543, "fair_value": 2044.519712, "relative_strength": -98.661085, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.854306, "energy": 71.210948, "activity_lines": [ 27.272193, 26.325776, 790.499723, 1276.602548 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }