{ "ticker": { "uuid": "232b7154-3d32-41eb-955d-7d3a47ce1a92", "symbol": "2029", "name": "Sheng Yu Steel Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 92.611, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 42.814, "architecture_energy": 51.367, "architecture_maturity": 7.442, "architecture_confidence": 50.896, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.59, "rotation_up": 67.69, "upward_expansion": 62.04, "deceleration": 19.56, "rotation_down": 19.56, "downward_expansion": 18.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.840001, 20.619536, 20.339598, 20.26235 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 21.15, "trend_reference": 20.277438, "distance_from_trend": 0.043031, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.467703, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.058649, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -27.565847, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.017457, "excess_performance": -0.423915, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.043031, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004103, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.058649, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.07359, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.275658, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.107389, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.017457, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.552118, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2157440, "relative_activity": 1.877202, "balance": 3.552118, "dry_up": 1.220048, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.034805, "annualized_volatility": 0.120676, "from_high_reference": -0.07739, "from_low_reference": 0.113739 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.277438, "fair_value_reference": 22.467703, "structural_low": 18.990094, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.063525, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.041206, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.001898, "worst_return": -0.091907, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.151639, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.119427, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.085389, "worst_return": -0.282579, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.085493, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.136675, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": -0.063457, "worst_return": -0.287593, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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20.146828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.700001, "volume": 1276002, "typical_volume": 1063704.0, "trend": 20.253675, "fair_value": 22.48058, "relative_strength": -26.99443, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 22.873628, "energy": 35.724442, "activity_lines": [ 20.570669, 20.410629, 20.17346, 20.176167 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.700001, "volume": 1272183, "typical_volume": 1068825.5, "trend": 20.260485, "fair_value": 22.473968, "relative_strength": -27.711175, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 32.462585, "energy": 41.553065, "activity_lines": [ 20.64362, 20.482654, 20.236512, 20.204962 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 21.15, "volume": 2157440, "typical_volume": 1149284.8, "trend": 20.277438, "fair_value": 22.467703, "relative_strength": -27.565847, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 42.814257, "energy": 51.36702, "activity_lines": [ 20.840001, 20.619536, 20.339598, 20.26235 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }