{ "ticker": { "uuid": "233963a9-c8bb-43c7-815f-7e57d8122be0", "symbol": "3498", "name": "Usun Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 86.713, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 59.127, "architecture_energy": 29.819, "architecture_maturity": 56.511, "architecture_confidence": 92.132, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.49, "rotation_up": 37.16, "upward_expansion": 58.93, "deceleration": 89.1, "rotation_down": 25.54, "downward_expansion": 15.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 124.4, 121.190909, 121.22, 111.365484 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 158.0, "trend_reference": 95.603333, "distance_from_trend": 0.652662, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 53.528846, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.95168, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 60.268215, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 2.247687, "excess_performance": 1.806315, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.652662, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.325186, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.95168, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.274546, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.602682, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.309451, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 2.247687, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.875617, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14590447, "relative_activity": 1.103765, "balance": 0.875617, "dry_up": 0.70817, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.145424, "annualized_volatility": 1.035316, "from_high_reference": -0.039514, "from_low_reference": 2.807229 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 95.603333, "fair_value_reference": 53.528846, "structural_low": 47.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.031128, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.042438, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.23494, "worst_return": -0.274194, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.055777, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.031217, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.575419, "worst_return": -0.214192, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.094325, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.031897, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.709091, "worst_return": -0.112554, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.001992, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.082061, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.079482, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.132632, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.182942, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.041122, "active": false }, { "regime": 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51.922756, "relative_strength": 21.714185, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.857421, "energy": 21.785456, "activity_lines": [ 117.733333, 121.427273, 117.497143, 105.312258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 90.0, "volume": 8412936, "typical_volume": 15469057.05, "trend": 89.956667, "fair_value": 52.25032, "relative_strength": -0.8596, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.365892, "energy": 9.354333, "activity_lines": [ 108.266667, 114.563636, 115.861905, 105.403118 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 116.5, "volume": 7473749, "typical_volume": 13950442.1, "trend": 92.126667, "fair_value": 52.753205, "relative_strength": 24.195834, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.330042, "energy": 14.559197, "activity_lines": [ 109.166667, 113.790909, 116.668571, 107.115591 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 158.0, "volume": 14590447, "typical_volume": 13218798.9, "trend": 95.603333, "fair_value": 53.528846, "relative_strength": 60.268215, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.127413, "energy": 29.819344, "activity_lines": [ 124.4, 121.190909, 121.22, 111.365484 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }