{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2347b87d-5311-4fd4-9167-c4da952b5152", "symbol": "600328", "name": "CNSIG Inner Mongolia Chemical Industry Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.488, "architecture_energy": 56.922, "architecture_maturity": 78.819, "architecture_confidence": 71.011, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.12, "rotation_up": 27.76, "upward_expansion": 22.5, "deceleration": 65.71, "rotation_down": 47.64, "downward_expansion": 72.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.238667, 6.236492, 6.698366, 7.279899 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 6.32, "trend_reference": 7.928788, "distance_from_trend": -0.202905, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.705983, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.179858, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.291594, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.315276, "excess_performance": -0.272072, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.202905, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.073669, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.179858, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.193025, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.202916, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.094091, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.315276, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.5339, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 64056747, "relative_activity": 0.562777, "balance": 0.5339, "dry_up": 0.687134, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067228, "annualized_volatility": 0.387052, "from_high_reference": -0.406015, "from_low_reference": 0.09913 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.928788, "fair_value_reference": 7.705983, "structural_low": 5.75, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.008816, "positive_rate": 0.517241, "directional_follow_through": 0.482759, "median_excess_return": 0.006377, "regime_survival": 0.827586, "best_return": 0.151556, "worst_return": -0.150386, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.01175, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.032781, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.27566, "worst_return": -0.159958, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.056758, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.028885, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.234268, "worst_return": -0.232354, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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7.750248, "relative_strength": -21.734304, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.846672, "energy": 88.150467, "activity_lines": [ 6.093655, 6.344966, 7.089132, 7.623407 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.11, "volume": 96056516, "typical_volume": 148847298.0, "trend": 8.048454, "fair_value": 7.734891, "relative_strength": -21.369776, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.604565, "energy": 84.601216, "activity_lines": [ 6.072667, 6.250439, 6.925924, 7.494173 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.4, "volume": 77542719, "typical_volume": 130825387.1, "trend": 7.992788, "fair_value": 7.721272, "relative_strength": -17.495339, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.447318, "energy": 64.259997, "activity_lines": [ 6.178667, 6.243172, 6.80705, 7.387821 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.32, "volume": 64056747, "typical_volume": 113822563.45, "trend": 7.928788, "fair_value": 7.705983, "relative_strength": -20.291594, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.488454, "energy": 56.92227, "activity_lines": [ 6.238667, 6.236492, 6.698366, 7.279899 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }