{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "234d6e61-d895-4391-8b6c-5141a8e61deb",
    "symbol": "OR",
    "name": "L'Or\u00e9al S.A.",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 71.091,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 56.242,
    "architecture_energy": 30.342,
    "architecture_maturity": 18.052,
    "architecture_confidence": 49.235,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.56,
        "rotation_up": 39.82,
        "upward_expansion": 71.8,
        "deceleration": 66.85,
        "rotation_down": 23.36,
        "downward_expansion": 3.14
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        383.089994,
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        378.006061,
        373.875786
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 388.149994,
    "trend_reference": 371.666663,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.04435,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 375.145479,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.034665,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -14.850753,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.003969,
    "excess_performance": -0.170278,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04435,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019853,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034665,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.070718,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.148508,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018908,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003969,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.796062,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 274,
      "relative_activity": 0.856116,
      "balance": 1.796062,
      "dry_up": 1.656772,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.041291,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.251293,
      "from_high_reference": -0.031562,
      "from_low_reference": 0.163866
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 371.666663,
      "fair_value_reference": 375.145479,
      "structural_low": 333.500596,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.010224,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010715,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.09182,
        "worst_return": -0.091231,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.00838,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02524,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.117243,
        "worst_return": -0.068138,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.012185,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.059279,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.094053,
        "worst_return": -0.13656,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.0073,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.16801,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.155976,
        "worst_return": -0.173626,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.139965,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.029212,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.051577,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.046299,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.043827,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.034583,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.034729,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-01-30",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.044568,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.021779,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.024547,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.025815,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
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        "active": true
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -26.292164,
        "energy": 16.638754,
        "activity_lines": [
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          362.699224,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 362.549988,
        "volume": 259,
        "typical_volume": 614.95,
        "trend": 364.25217,
        "fair_value": 376.10986,
        "relative_strength": -16.741562,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -24.714733,
        "energy": 16.811855,
        "activity_lines": [
          362.630835,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 357.450012,
        "volume": 172,
        "typical_volume": 622.15,
        "trend": 363.399329,
        "fair_value": 375.834183,
        "relative_strength": -17.110969,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -26.470007,
        "energy": 17.76002,
        "activity_lines": [
          361.503135,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 363.049988,
        "volume": 274,
        "typical_volume": 635.85,
        "trend": 363.256292,
        "fair_value": 375.692655,
        "relative_strength": -17.046939,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -25.836044,
        "energy": 13.793106,
        "activity_lines": [
          362.123332,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 389.600006,
        "volume": 498,
        "typical_volume": 629.55,
        "trend": 364.431479,
        "fair_value": 375.733791,
        "relative_strength": -12.943349,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 40.855627,
        "energy": 27.249534,
        "activity_lines": [
          370.833333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 375.200012,
        "volume": 98,
        "typical_volume": 607.35,
        "trend": 365.348999,
        "fair_value": 375.693875,
        "relative_strength": -14.764547,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 25.818656,
        "energy": 33.62113,
        "activity_lines": [
          373.400004,
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          365.514776
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 390.0,
        "volume": 108,
        "typical_volume": 586.5,
        "trend": 366.650321,
        "fair_value": 375.69073,
        "relative_strength": -13.377747,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.524724,
        "energy": 61.73858,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 377.700012,
        "volume": 78,
        "typical_volume": 565.6,
        "trend": 367.469712,
        "fair_value": 375.641896,
        "relative_strength": -19.032321,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.256291,
        "energy": 58.113335,
        "activity_lines": [
          381.090006,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 388.299988,
        "volume": 49,
        "typical_volume": 506.15,
        "trend": 368.116028,
        "fair_value": 375.563975,
        "relative_strength": -14.765388,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.887471,
        "energy": 61.94393,
        "activity_lines": [
          384.153335,
          378.148183,
          369.821712,
          369.161935
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 382.600006,
        "volume": 257,
        "typical_volume": 437.0,
        "trend": 368.80939,
        "fair_value": 375.46077,
        "relative_strength": -17.508462,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.720003,
        "energy": 52.003184,
        "activity_lines": [
          383.633335,
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          370.096385
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 379.399994,
        "volume": 321,
        "typical_volume": 395.45,
        "trend": 369.278379,
        "fair_value": 375.347395,
        "relative_strength": -16.642786,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.498254,
        "energy": 33.898021,
        "activity_lines": [
          382.513332,
          380.521819,
          372.418934,
          370.77965
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 381.549988,
        "volume": 417,
        "typical_volume": 392.8,
        "trend": 369.851731,
        "fair_value": 375.333886,
        "relative_strength": -14.135023,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.332269,
        "energy": 31.771988,
        "activity_lines": [
          381.829995,
          381.424544,
          373.791541,
          371.571367
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 373.5,
        "volume": 496,
        "typical_volume": 365.5,
        "trend": 370.406877,
        "fair_value": 375.245353,
        "relative_strength": -16.621006,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.942662,
        "energy": 20.612576,
        "activity_lines": [
          379.026662,
          380.51818,
          374.441456,
          371.806739
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 385.649994,
        "volume": 934,
        "typical_volume": 329.3,
        "trend": 371.322882,
        "fair_value": 375.200635,
        "relative_strength": -13.364937,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.250865,
        "energy": 23.395397,
        "activity_lines": [
          380.553329,
          381.529088,
          376.197231,
          372.790166
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 388.149994,
        "volume": 274,
        "typical_volume": 320.05,
        "trend": 371.666663,
        "fair_value": 375.145479,
        "relative_strength": -14.850753,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.242208,
        "energy": 30.342295,
        "activity_lines": [
          383.089994,
          382.583633,
          378.006061,
          373.875786
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}