{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2350fb46-7d51-49e6-8add-92bb6e28c497",
    "symbol": "BSL",
    "name": "Raffles Medical Group Ltd",
    "exchange": "SES",
    "country": "SG",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^STI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -83.411,
    "architecture_energy": 78.116,
    "architecture_maturity": 25.155,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.13,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 23.23,
        "rotation_up": 11.98,
        "upward_expansion": 16.27,
        "deceleration": 39.29,
        "rotation_down": 68.94,
        "downward_expansion": 84.93
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.904667,
        0.917545,
        0.935154,
        0.947606
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.875,
    "trend_reference": 0.960945,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.089438,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.949523,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.078485,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -24.109263,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.093122,
    "excess_performance": -0.247957,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.089438,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.015752,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.078485,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.073615,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.241093,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.1439,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.093122,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.35536,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 15502400,
      "relative_activity": 2.107182,
      "balance": 0.35536,
      "dry_up": 2.038325,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.028998,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.153539,
      "from_high_reference": -0.164497,
      "from_low_reference": 0.005747
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.960945,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.949523,
      "structural_low": 0.87,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 30,
        "median_return": -0.012255,
        "positive_rate": 0.266667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013051,
        "regime_survival": 0.866667,
        "best_return": 0.179641,
        "worst_return": -0.084746,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.032609,
        "positive_rate": 0.272727,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.727273,
        "median_excess_return": -0.054413,
        "regime_survival": 0.636364,
        "best_return": 0.209581,
        "worst_return": -0.136,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.056941,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.085497,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.252174,
        "worst_return": -0.205882,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.113729,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.114688,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.17929,
        "worst_return": -0.2511,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-06-30",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.102703,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.001114,
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.068062,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.009804,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
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      {
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      },
      {
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 6554015.0,
        "trend": 0.969364,
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        "relative_strength": -17.481582,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.941176,
        "energy": 43.985338,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.936,
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          0.951571,
          0.960306
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.95,
        "volume": 6662800,
        "typical_volume": 6141470.0,
        "trend": 0.968061,
        "fair_value": 0.9538,
        "relative_strength": -17.250618,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -41.496239,
        "energy": 27.119472,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.941667,
          0.939636,
          0.95039,
          0.959056
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.88,
        "volume": 29652800,
        "typical_volume": 6966810.0,
        "trend": 0.964424,
        "fair_value": 0.951618,
        "relative_strength": -23.341602,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -82.974837,
        "energy": 52.511352,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.922667,
          0.928364,
          0.942773,
          0.953375
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.875,
        "volume": 15502400,
        "typical_volume": 7356935.0,
        "trend": 0.960945,
        "fair_value": 0.949523,
        "relative_strength": -24.109263,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -83.411362,
        "energy": 78.116033,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.904667,
          0.917545,
          0.935154,
          0.947606
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}