{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2359ddc7-d607-488f-8188-0e9f7c6a4458", "symbol": "VAC", "name": "Pierre et Vacances SA", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 64.686, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 45.959, "architecture_energy": 44.097, "architecture_maturity": 4.449, "architecture_confidence": 67.992, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.93, "rotation_up": 60.87, "upward_expansion": 76.16, "deceleration": 41.84, "rotation_down": 9.81, "downward_expansion": 14.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.8644, 1.842545, 1.842819, 1.830142 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.876, "trend_reference": 1.820267, "distance_from_trend": 0.030618, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.531923, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.224605, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.431271, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.03532, "excess_performance": -0.017991, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.030618, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017932, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.224605, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040789, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.004313, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.11292, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.03532, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.687872, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1022620, "relative_activity": 0.894721, "balance": 0.687872, "dry_up": 0.927913, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.038544, "annualized_volatility": 0.320751, "from_high_reference": -0.062, "from_low_reference": 0.245684 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.820267, "fair_value_reference": 1.531923, "structural_low": 1.58, "invalidation": "A 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1.838533, 1.824982, 1.832057, 1.823071 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.874, "volume": 1114540, "typical_volume": 1132753.3, "trend": 1.820533, "fair_value": 1.529103, "relative_strength": 1.816181, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.056244, "energy": 33.145519, "activity_lines": [ 1.853067, 1.834036, 1.837752, 1.826563 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.876, "volume": 1022620, "typical_volume": 1142948.2, "trend": 1.820267, "fair_value": 1.531923, "relative_strength": -0.431271, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.958547, "energy": 44.096827, "activity_lines": [ 1.8644, 1.842545, 1.842819, 1.830142 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }