{ "ticker": { "uuid": "23604c06-b767-4f15-b567-f045e8a023a5", "symbol": "TRU", "name": "TransUnion", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 86.302, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 37.061, "architecture_energy": 50.839, "architecture_maturity": 12.865, "architecture_confidence": 49.678, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.41, "rotation_up": 65.7, "upward_expansion": 60.01, "deceleration": 22.17, "rotation_down": 18.23, "downward_expansion": 18.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 78.588667, 76.338182, 73.74554, 73.183425 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 80.02, "trend_reference": 73.695559, "distance_from_trend": 0.085818, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 80.459507, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.005462, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.301432, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.092669, "excess_performance": -0.032956, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.085818, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.044115, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.005462, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.103123, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.093014, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.134127, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.092669, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.181371, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8687715, "relative_activity": 0.774966, "balance": 1.181371, "dry_up": 0.995194, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085036, "annualized_volatility": 0.427018, "from_high_reference": -0.158166, "from_low_reference": 0.262743 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 73.695559, "fair_value_reference": 80.459507, "structural_low": 63.37, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.047173, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.05263, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.03314, "worst_return": -0.079124, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.095778, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.100322, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.038056, "worst_return": -0.161532, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.094122, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.002312, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.246281, "worst_return": -0.076517, "sufficient": false }, { 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}, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 76.51, "volume": 9465916, "typical_volume": 11377103.15, "trend": 74.089771, "fair_value": 80.430318, "relative_strength": -10.493844, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.701674, "energy": 36.804835, "activity_lines": [ 76.932, 73.951555, 72.253956, 72.499028 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 78.62, "volume": 17666209, "typical_volume": 11480212.9, "trend": 73.942087, "fair_value": 80.441529, "relative_strength": -8.359165, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 32.412418, "energy": 47.898449, "activity_lines": [ 77.802667, 75.091091, 72.954018, 72.791301 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 80.02, "volume": 8687715, "typical_volume": 11210447.3, "trend": 73.695559, "fair_value": 80.459507, "relative_strength": -9.301432, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 37.060626, "energy": 50.838722, "activity_lines": [ 78.588667, 76.338182, 73.74554, 73.183425 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }