{ "ticker": { "uuid": "236430c0-d946-41ab-b578-96239ab1e481", "symbol": "NGIL", "name": "Nakoda Group of Industries Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 50.319, "architecture_energy": 30.767, "architecture_maturity": 47.978, "architecture_confidence": 94.435, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.91, "rotation_up": 37.48, "upward_expansion": 66.18, "deceleration": 89.45, "rotation_down": 27.55, "downward_expansion": 13.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 39.408667, 39.339818, 38.937714, 36.555592 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 39.040001, "trend_reference": 33.427333, "distance_from_trend": 0.167907, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 38.379754, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.017203, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 23.102386, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.470433, "excess_performance": 0.514142, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.167907, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.116813, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.017203, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.080272, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.231024, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.076781, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.470433, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.671111, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 74647, "relative_activity": 0.574651, "balance": 1.671111, "dry_up": 0.721379, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095287, "annualized_volatility": 0.537919, "from_high_reference": -0.110503, "from_low_reference": 0.773739 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.427333, "fair_value_reference": 38.379754, "structural_low": 22.01, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.003632, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.035062, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.116216, "worst_return": -0.008511, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.029879, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.044298, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.055135, "worst_return": -0.114894, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.351489, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.470163, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.351489, "worst_return": -0.351489, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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}, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 39.02, "volume": 68427, "typical_volume": 127076.95, "trend": 32.476, "fair_value": 38.52385, "relative_strength": 26.848398, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.037333, "energy": 37.736622, "activity_lines": [ 39.456667, 39.467091, 37.870238, 35.282817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 38.049999, "volume": 47789, "typical_volume": 126504.65, "trend": 32.73, "fair_value": 38.453658, "relative_strength": 25.839539, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.851685, "energy": 36.220728, "activity_lines": [ 39.094, 39.163273, 38.172, 35.64243 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40.939999, "volume": 183965, "typical_volume": 128872.15, "trend": 33.096, "fair_value": 38.404806, "relative_strength": 30.982626, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.971786, "energy": 39.508847, "activity_lines": [ 39.691333, 39.442909, 38.686429, 36.172108 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39.040001, "volume": 74647, "typical_volume": 129899.75, "trend": 33.427333, "fair_value": 38.379754, "relative_strength": 23.102386, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.319421, "energy": 30.767291, "activity_lines": [ 39.408667, 39.339818, 38.937714, 36.555592 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }