{ "ticker": { "uuid": "236bde3b-1757-4333-8218-3ddf3615ffea", "symbol": "6229", "name": "V-TAC Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 56.955, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -18.362, "architecture_energy": 33.704, "architecture_maturity": 3.524, "architecture_confidence": 67.525, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.44, "rotation_up": 14.98, "upward_expansion": 19.71, "deceleration": 54.94, "rotation_down": 60.55, "downward_expansion": 47.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.666667, 24.346317, 25.058736, 24.600873 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 24.450001, "trend_reference": 23.992789, "distance_from_trend": 0.019056, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.186483, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.100656, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.977905, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.129558, "excess_performance": -0.311814, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.019056, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045649, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.100656, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.07325, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.259779, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021637, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.129558, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.824989, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 331034, "relative_activity": 0.210081, "balance": 0.824989, "dry_up": 0.209064, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085276, "annualized_volatility": 0.41762, "from_high_reference": -0.199369, "from_low_reference": 0.250985 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.992789, "fair_value_reference": 27.186483, "structural_low": 19.544592, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.025591, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.03058, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.036468, "worst_return": -0.04, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.00293, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.044217, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.098425, "worst_return": -0.104286, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.207132, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.113894, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.572835, "worst_return": -0.158571, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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398048, "typical_volume": 1576607.5, "trend": 23.82784, "fair_value": 27.202845, "relative_strength": -28.856031, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -5.96288, "energy": 18.951522, "activity_lines": [ 23.882195, 24.841849, 25.210213, 24.596173 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.35, "volume": 272073, "typical_volume": 1571292.1, "trend": 23.899311, "fair_value": 27.189802, "relative_strength": -27.667688, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.171608, "energy": 34.212931, "activity_lines": [ 23.476895, 24.4696, 25.087547, 24.565345 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 24.450001, "volume": 331034, "typical_volume": 1575742.8, "trend": 23.992789, "fair_value": 27.186483, "relative_strength": -25.977905, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.361982, "energy": 33.703629, "activity_lines": [ 23.666667, 24.346317, 25.058736, 24.600873 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }