{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2397b7ab-3ad3-45c4-86c3-3d3f9138dfe9", "symbol": "AAPD", "name": "DIREXION DAILY AAPL BEAR 1X SHARES", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.486, "architecture_energy": 63.463, "architecture_maturity": 31.524, "architecture_confidence": 92.683, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.85, "rotation_up": 18.2, "upward_expansion": 12.73, "deceleration": 42.14, "rotation_down": 62.52, "downward_expansion": 86.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.934667, 11.161107, 11.515729, 11.99729 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 11.09, "trend_reference": 12.588624, "distance_from_trend": -0.119046, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 16.229096, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.316659, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.398116, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.130471, "excess_performance": -0.317925, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.119046, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040791, "read": "Falling" 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-80.990428, "energy": 62.038667, "activity_lines": [ 11.176136, 11.424346, 11.909369, 12.344879 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.49, "volume": 49772851, "typical_volume": 43286200.05, "trend": 12.735645, "fair_value": 16.338121, "relative_strength": -28.199367, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.965241, "energy": 83.754707, "activity_lines": [ 10.858, 11.237907, 11.719792, 12.194724 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.26, "volume": 79160987, "typical_volume": 44287411.9, "trend": 12.674577, "fair_value": 16.28552, "relative_strength": -22.284607, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.635539, "energy": 73.736508, "activity_lines": [ 10.884, 11.21378, 11.619015, 12.099521 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.09, "volume": 43401239, "typical_volume": 43591034.55, "trend": 12.588624, "fair_value": 16.229096, "relative_strength": -26.398116, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.486144, "energy": 63.46276, "activity_lines": [ 10.934667, 11.161107, 11.515729, 11.99729 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }