{ "ticker": { "uuid": "23a2dc6f-3a78-4779-b971-7a007c4259d1", "symbol": "MNST", "name": "Monster Beverage Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 48.823, "architecture_energy": 39.106, "architecture_maturity": 83.239, "architecture_confidence": 70.187, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.36, "rotation_up": 42.23, "upward_expansion": 70.62, "deceleration": 82.55, "rotation_down": 27.39, "downward_expansion": 18.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 94.012, 94.700545, 91.447, 88.154645 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 90.36, "trend_reference": 84.782667, "distance_from_trend": 0.065784, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 62.600833, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.443431, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 1.434224, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.094742, "excess_performance": -0.092712, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.065784, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.085329, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.443431, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002042, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.014342, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002485, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.094742, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.710738, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 33555782, "relative_activity": 1.270251, "balance": 1.710738, "dry_up": 1.11455, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.050742, "annualized_volatility": 0.30368, "from_high_reference": -0.099462, "from_low_reference": 0.48204 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 84.782667, "fair_value_reference": 62.600833, "structural_low": 70.86, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": 0.011597, "positive_rate": 0.59375, "directional_follow_through": 0.59375, "median_excess_return": -0.02257, "regime_survival": 0.78125, "best_return": 0.136035, "worst_return": -0.089992, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.008707, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.015004, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.183196, "worst_return": -0.205459, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.122845, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.022975, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.174557, "worst_return": -0.15914, "sufficient": true }, { 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"direction": 71.636735, "energy": 80.246004, "activity_lines": [ 96.930667, 94.586727, 89.152476, 86.279075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 93.49, "volume": 23945602, "typical_volume": 26491549.1, "trend": 83.674667, "fair_value": 62.13, "relative_strength": 11.685308, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.60231, "energy": 60.08466, "activity_lines": [ 96.08, 94.774909, 90.012286, 86.947118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 96.38, "volume": 25808936, "typical_volume": 26240727.75, "trend": 84.348667, "fair_value": 62.394551, "relative_strength": 13.915112, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.123949, "energy": 53.921035, "activity_lines": [ 96.049333, 95.372182, 91.06219, 87.766817 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 90.36, "volume": 33555782, "typical_volume": 26416649.25, "trend": 84.782667, "fair_value": 62.600833, "relative_strength": 1.434224, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.823325, "energy": 39.105725, "activity_lines": [ 94.012, 94.700545, 91.447, 88.154645 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }