{ "ticker": { "uuid": "23b7efc5-0535-45c5-9976-82b0f4fbb079", "symbol": "NOCG34", "name": "Northrop Grumman Corporation", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -46.349, "architecture_energy": 38.946, "architecture_maturity": 80.216, "architecture_confidence": 84.218, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.94, "rotation_up": 27.77, "upward_expansion": 23.06, "deceleration": 46.75, "rotation_down": 38.79, "downward_expansion": 64.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 55.5, 55.0702, 55.717887, 58.989024 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 57.599998, "trend_reference": 63.344868, "distance_from_trend": -0.090692, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 54.697532, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.053064, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -12.075722, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.214957, "excess_performance": -0.157908, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.090692, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033222, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.053064, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.056875, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.120757, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.162133, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.214957, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.717627, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 293, "relative_activity": 0.063923, "balance": 0.717627, "dry_up": 1.016275, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.046065, "annualized_volatility": 0.339973, "from_high_reference": -0.334274, "from_low_reference": 0.145904 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 63.344868, "fair_value_reference": 54.697532, "structural_low": 50.265999, 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"fair_value": 54.408987, "relative_strength": -20.788408, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.065631, "energy": 60.976707, "activity_lines": [ 54.319267, 54.599789, 56.963116, 60.567644 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 54.417, "volume": 8330, "typical_volume": 4755.5, "trend": 63.792566, "fair_value": 54.497228, "relative_strength": -18.916971, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.677459, "energy": 55.356642, "activity_lines": [ 54.426934, 54.526548, 56.315394, 59.941809 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 54.950001, "volume": 730, "typical_volume": 4627.0, "trend": 63.525595, "fair_value": 54.588887, "relative_strength": -19.224373, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.02367, "energy": 49.042048, "activity_lines": [ 54.621134, 54.550637, 55.835991, 59.371321 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 57.599998, "volume": 293, "typical_volume": 4583.65, "trend": 63.344868, "fair_value": 54.697532, "relative_strength": -12.075722, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.349413, "energy": 38.94581, "activity_lines": [ 55.5, 55.0702, 55.717887, 58.989024 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }