{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "23bea31c-a7c2-4df2-9c13-2a002f3ebced",
    "symbol": "002978",
    "name": "Sichuan Anning Iron and Titanium Co.,Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -47.125,
    "architecture_energy": 45.13,
    "architecture_maturity": 87.333,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.821,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 26.41,
        "rotation_up": 27.67,
        "upward_expansion": 20.31,
        "deceleration": 46.86,
        "rotation_down": 36.13,
        "downward_expansion": 65.65
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        26.282651,
        26.104106,
        27.294361,
        29.153561
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 26.860001,
    "trend_reference": 31.755333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.154158,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 30.20247,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.110669,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -18.692296,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.306481,
    "excess_performance": -0.31388,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.154158,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.05791,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.110669,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.151041,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.186923,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032104,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.306481,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.605371,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 16574372,
      "relative_activity": 1.140478,
      "balance": 0.605371,
      "dry_up": 1.047292,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.063098,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.404595,
      "from_high_reference": -0.381106,
      "from_low_reference": 0.09064
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 31.755333,
      "fair_value_reference": 30.20247,
      "structural_low": 24.627739,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": 0.011224,
        "positive_rate": 0.590909,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.409091,
        "median_excess_return": 0.034879,
        "regime_survival": 0.727273,
        "best_return": 0.259437,
        "worst_return": -0.197811,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.088255,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.01789,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.292029,
        "worst_return": -0.258145,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.016319,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006647,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.222541,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.032625,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.150721,
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        "worst_return": -0.093132,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-05-24",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-06-21",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      {
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      },
      {
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        "end": "2025-02-21",
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        "return": 0.070509,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "return": 0.081407,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 25.620001,
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        "typical_volume": 16018927.1,
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        "fair_value": 30.252282,
        "relative_strength": -20.545036,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -62.979565,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 26.59,
        "volume": 12106289,
        "typical_volume": 15061752.8,
        "trend": 31.961667,
        "fair_value": 30.227438,
        "relative_strength": -15.744935,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.522208,
        "energy": 57.428783,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.968442,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 26.860001,
        "volume": 16574372,
        "typical_volume": 14532831.5,
        "trend": 31.755333,
        "fair_value": 30.20247,
        "relative_strength": -18.692296,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -47.12529,
        "energy": 45.129906,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}