{ "ticker": { "uuid": "23e374cd-8993-42f1-ab71-a65422bf0da1", "symbol": "SITINET", "name": "SITI Networks Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -71.598, "architecture_energy": 69.096, "architecture_maturity": 13.688, "architecture_confidence": 84.696, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.53, "rotation_up": 9.99, "upward_expansion": 14.71, "deceleration": 37.42, "rotation_down": 76.37, "downward_expansion": 92.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.31, 0.321818, 0.333095, 0.336559 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.3, "trend_reference": 0.341333, "distance_from_trend": -0.121094, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.623269, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.518667, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.701207, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.142857, "excess_performance": -0.099148, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.121094, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.045666, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.518667, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.062011, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.207012, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080566, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.142857, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.548976, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2658157, "relative_activity": 1.494057, "balance": 0.548976, "dry_up": 1.158471, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.087179, "annualized_volatility": 0.432195, "from_high_reference": -0.433962, "from_low_reference": 0.071429 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.341333, "fair_value_reference": 0.623269, "structural_low": 0.28, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": -0.032766, "positive_rate": 0.382353, "directional_follow_through": 0.558824, "median_excess_return": -0.037987, "regime_survival": 0.852941, "best_return": 0.322581, "worst_return": -0.291667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.149123, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.157862, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.276923, "worst_return": -0.290323, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.183014, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.263673, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.307692, "worst_return": -0.483871, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.274359, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.358526, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": -0.1875, "worst_return": -0.578947, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-01-12", "end": "2024-02-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.217391, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-03-01", "end": "2024-03-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.1875, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-03-22", "end": "2024-04-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.076923, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-04-26", "end": "2024-07-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.2, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-07-26", "end": "2024-08-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.349398, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-09-06", "end": "2024-09-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.102041, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.043478, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.111111, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.054795, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": 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"relative_strength": -14.889505, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.863319, "energy": 43.80677, "activity_lines": [ 0.332667, 0.339455, 0.342524, 0.344172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.32, "volume": 1134873, "typical_volume": 1785460.5, "trend": 0.346, "fair_value": 0.629038, "relative_strength": -14.563616, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.330163, "energy": 53.577303, "activity_lines": [ 0.327333, 0.335818, 0.340524, 0.342366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.3, "volume": 2694115, "typical_volume": 1818091.4, "trend": 0.344, "fair_value": 0.626474, "relative_strength": -20.9942, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.638256, "energy": 66.604838, "activity_lines": [ 0.317333, 0.328545, 0.336714, 0.339398 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.3, "volume": 2658157, "typical_volume": 1779154.15, "trend": 0.341333, "fair_value": 0.623269, "relative_strength": -20.701207, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.598436, "energy": 69.095814, "activity_lines": [ 0.31, 0.321818, 0.333095, 0.336559 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }