{ "ticker": { "uuid": "23e69d82-4029-4eea-94e9-af2baa5b7a0d", "symbol": "600007", "name": "China World Trade Center Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.019, "architecture_energy": 35.792, "architecture_maturity": 25.72, "architecture_confidence": 89.002, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.0, "rotation_up": 21.27, "upward_expansion": 3.7, "deceleration": 51.43, "rotation_down": 45.25, "downward_expansion": 72.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.869334, 18.92577, 19.31619, 19.604988 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 18.299999, "trend_reference": 19.885398, "distance_from_trend": -0.079727, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 20.220787, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.094991, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.413001, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.108622, "excess_performance": -0.065418, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.079727, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016238, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.094991, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.119237, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.08413, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003679, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.108622, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.598512, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14108698, "relative_activity": 1.234558, "balance": 0.598512, "dry_up": 1.101399, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059341, "annualized_volatility": 0.229064, "from_high_reference": -0.185943, "from_low_reference": 0.062182 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.885398, "fair_value_reference": 20.220787, "structural_low": 17.228688, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.022105, "positive_rate": 0.578947, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": 0.017008, "regime_survival": 0.684211, "best_return": 0.269816, "worst_return": -0.100463, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.00624, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.020907, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.284611, "worst_return": -0.014648, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.015145, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.166374, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.401498, "worst_return": -0.026371, "sufficient": true }, { 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"2026-07-24", "close": 18.860001, "volume": 12480318, "typical_volume": 11139877.0, "trend": 19.947065, "fair_value": 20.201217, "relative_strength": -3.207904, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.626784, "energy": 23.128876, "activity_lines": [ 19.153334, 19.092634, 19.526066, 19.758738 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.200001, "volume": 12079177, "typical_volume": 11254963.45, "trend": 19.936065, "fair_value": 20.215759, "relative_strength": -1.619782, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.170885, "energy": 19.238136, "activity_lines": [ 19.169334, 19.083281, 19.461914, 19.710541 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.299999, "volume": 14108698, "typical_volume": 11428135.6, "trend": 19.885398, "fair_value": 20.220787, "relative_strength": -8.413001, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.01901, "energy": 35.791994, "activity_lines": [ 18.869334, 18.92577, 19.31619, 19.604988 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }