{ "ticker": { "uuid": "23ff333b-68bb-418e-80f0-a7fbabb700f0", "symbol": "5488", "name": "Sunf Pu Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 66.669, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 34.539, "architecture_energy": 23.854, "architecture_maturity": 66.71, "architecture_confidence": 74.792, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.86, "rotation_up": 26.16, "upward_expansion": 57.77, "deceleration": 88.33, "rotation_down": 31.41, "downward_expansion": 19.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.248921, 13.771007, 13.04186, 12.31321 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 12.85, "trend_reference": 11.443182, "distance_from_trend": 0.122939, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.620708, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.105785, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -14.138938, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.323406, "excess_performance": -0.117966, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.122939, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.135843, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.105785, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.222923, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.141389, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.170187, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.323406, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.167947, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2842222, "relative_activity": 0.42492, "balance": 1.167947, "dry_up": 0.769063, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.150913, "annualized_volatility": 0.490859, "from_high_reference": -0.33144, "from_low_reference": 0.449799 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.443182, "fair_value_reference": 11.620708, "structural_low": 8.863299, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.005845, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.023775, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.106667, "worst_return": -0.110672, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.010989, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.103915, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.057592, "worst_return": -0.178532, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.010982, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.03762, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.324607, "worst_return": -0.075099, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"color": "orange", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.02459, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.191769, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.09375, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.014778, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.117308, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.029319, "active": false 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"close": 15.983814, "volume": 37104730, "typical_volume": 5934306.3, "trend": 10.992151, "fair_value": 11.601448, "relative_strength": 12.022315, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.257144, "energy": 84.691362, "activity_lines": [ 15.207032, 14.040951, 12.553021, 11.814199 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.65, "volume": 9052945, "typical_volume": 6324606.65, "trend": 11.120835, "fair_value": 11.609789, "relative_strength": -6.078196, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.449994, "energy": 63.602323, "activity_lines": [ 14.927031, 14.135382, 12.75144, 11.985673 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.4, "volume": 4237364, "typical_volume": 6465015.4, "trend": 11.212169, "fair_value": 11.613309, "relative_strength": -13.14057, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.599497, "energy": 47.645717, "activity_lines": [ 14.146942, 13.939048, 12.812474, 12.068199 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.5, "volume": 4444011, "typical_volume": 6603394.6, "trend": 11.340169, "fair_value": 11.620369, "relative_strength": -7.254036, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.56077, "energy": 29.101542, "activity_lines": [ 13.743388, 13.926394, 12.966314, 12.215801 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 12.85, "volume": 2842222, "typical_volume": 6688838.7, "trend": 11.443182, "fair_value": 11.620708, "relative_strength": -14.138938, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.538931, "energy": 23.853505, "activity_lines": [ 13.248921, 13.771007, 13.04186, 12.31321 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }