{ "ticker": { "uuid": "24290a64-db4c-4c81-9c5c-c1ec74ba7216", "symbol": "CCSI", "name": "Consensus Cloud Solutions Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 45.016, "architecture_energy": 32.236, "architecture_maturity": 67.056, "architecture_confidence": 57.231, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.41, "rotation_up": 40.17, "upward_expansion": 65.55, "deceleration": 63.62, "rotation_down": 25.09, "downward_expansion": 15.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 36.186667, 36.349455, 34.348786, 32.569774 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 35.14, "trend_reference": 30.135833, "distance_from_trend": 0.166054, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 23.809071, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.475908, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 10.333256, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.48458, "excess_performance": 0.297126, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.166054, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.173552, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.475908, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03851, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.103333, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033992, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.48458, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.612749, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 587836, "relative_activity": 0.846736, "balance": 0.612749, "dry_up": 0.891755, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.116167, "annualized_volatility": 0.661157, "from_high_reference": -0.151208, "from_low_reference": 0.739604 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.135833, "fair_value_reference": 23.809071, "structural_low": 22.16, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.036578, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.04326, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.229167, "worst_return": -0.113489, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.003111, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.056494, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.260695, "worst_return": -0.195765, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.08798, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.07348, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.394565, "worst_return": -0.139661, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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28.299167, "fair_value": 23.693237, "relative_strength": 20.33002, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.322882, "energy": 64.224134, "activity_lines": [ 36.837333, 35.240455, 32.332643, 30.675452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 37.44, "volume": 643718, "typical_volume": 725652.7, "trend": 28.777167, "fair_value": 23.725801, "relative_strength": 24.417282, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.685894, "energy": 58.140759, "activity_lines": [ 37.242667, 35.875636, 32.989381, 31.265183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 36.37, "volume": 668051, "typical_volume": 721617.45, "trend": 29.211167, "fair_value": 23.749519, "relative_strength": 21.96128, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.495, "energy": 47.256362, "activity_lines": [ 37.116, 36.253727, 33.509167, 31.755043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 36.4, "volume": 576756, "typical_volume": 713479.65, "trend": 29.7005, "fair_value": 23.787404, "relative_strength": 20.476098, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.900265, "energy": 41.289871, "activity_lines": [ 36.850667, 36.490909, 34.004095, 32.218839 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.14, "volume": 587836, "typical_volume": 694237.85, "trend": 30.135833, "fair_value": 23.809071, "relative_strength": 10.333256, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.015596, "energy": 32.235576, "activity_lines": [ 36.186667, 36.349455, 34.348786, 32.569774 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }