{ "ticker": { "uuid": "242cb18b-71b5-4ba2-a60b-8d10d6f49b6e", "symbol": "ASIA", "name": "Asia Hotel Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 59.236, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -37.521, "architecture_energy": 31.5, "architecture_maturity": 49.795, "architecture_confidence": 84.297, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.29, "rotation_up": 30.09, "upward_expansion": 24.45, "deceleration": 41.87, "rotation_down": 23.69, "downward_expansion": 60.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.416667, 5.393636, 5.400238, 5.493536 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 5.4, "trend_reference": 5.596849, "distance_from_trend": -0.035171, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.719597, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.055878, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.910275, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.076989, "excess_performance": -0.269314, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.035171, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010175, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.055878, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029051, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.139103, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002017, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.076989, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.125, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1500, "relative_activity": 0.059749, "balance": 1.125, "dry_up": 0.196176, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.010684, "annualized_volatility": 0.141902, "from_high_reference": -0.121651, "from_low_reference": 0.106862 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.596849, "fair_value_reference": 5.719597, "structural_low": 5.15, 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5.574384, "fair_value": 5.759371, "relative_strength": -17.389356, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.005359, "energy": 63.644318, "activity_lines": [ 5.326667, 5.352727, 5.463077, 5.546343 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 5.4, "volume": 9200, "typical_volume": 27200.0, "trend": 5.579202, "fair_value": 5.749795, "relative_strength": -15.860253, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.928336, "energy": 76.17761, "activity_lines": [ 5.346667, 5.36, 5.442851, 5.535093 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.45, "volume": 5600, "typical_volume": 25860.0, "trend": 5.585686, "fair_value": 5.74054, "relative_strength": -15.609928, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.453314, "energy": 58.568153, "activity_lines": [ 5.383333, 5.374545, 5.430476, 5.526757 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.45, "volume": 8000, "typical_volume": 25425.0, "trend": 5.588866, "fair_value": 5.733673, "relative_strength": -15.447581, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.652483, "energy": 45.533198, "activity_lines": [ 5.413333, 5.387273, 5.420952, 5.518003 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.4, "volume": 4600, "typical_volume": 25090.0, "trend": 5.590378, "fair_value": 5.726785, "relative_strength": -14.875744, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.474893, "energy": 43.03931, "activity_lines": [ 5.416667, 5.39, 5.409048, 5.505818 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.4, "volume": 1500, "typical_volume": 25105.0, "trend": 5.596849, "fair_value": 5.719597, "relative_strength": -13.910275, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.520885, "energy": 31.500381, "activity_lines": [ 5.416667, 5.393636, 5.400238, 5.493536 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }