{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "246eef18-3c00-4b64-ba89-c888280aab1a",
    "symbol": "TPHU",
    "name": "Amundi Index Solutions - Amundi Japan Topix UCITS ETF-C USD Hedged",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 75.301,
    "architecture_energy": 49.306,
    "architecture_maturity": 86.932,
    "architecture_confidence": 64.614,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.62,
        "rotation_up": 48.68,
        "upward_expansion": 76.19,
        "deceleration": 68.62,
        "rotation_down": 28.61,
        "downward_expansion": 11.86
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        207.530001,
        207.237272,
        203.925952,
        200.065247
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 211.725006,
    "trend_reference": 195.274166,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.084245,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 142.473526,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.486066,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 7.89032,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.11799,
    "excess_performance": 0.066755,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084245,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.065796,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.486066,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013334,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.078903,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.048686,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.11799,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.657035,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 103,
      "relative_activity": 0.067118,
      "balance": 0.657035,
      "dry_up": 1.353284,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.026131,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.187975,
      "from_high_reference": -0.001062,
      "from_low_reference": 0.409151
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 195.274166,
      "fair_value_reference": 142.473526,
      "structural_low": 175.440002,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 44,
        "median_return": 0.014894,
        "positive_rate": 0.613636,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.613636,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007941,
        "regime_survival": 0.818182,
        "best_return": 0.0847,
        "worst_return": -0.102431,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.053432,
        "positive_rate": 0.866667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.866667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.029662,
        "regime_survival": 0.733333,
        "best_return": 0.171399,
        "worst_return": -0.039767,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.100029,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.065757,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.094323,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.26002,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.104611,
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        "worst_return": -0.02467,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "end": "2024-05-03",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.004225,
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      },
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-09-27",
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        "return": -0.000321,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-12-13",
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        "active": false
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        "return": 0.071992,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-02",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 12.321273,
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": 10.960949,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 1534.3,
        "trend": 190.968332,
        "fair_value": 139.743365,
        "relative_strength": 12.624163,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 76.508704,
        "energy": 87.738493,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 203.024994,
        "volume": 4161,
        "typical_volume": 1738.25,
        "trend": 191.993499,
        "fair_value": 140.407596,
        "relative_strength": 7.483547,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.317186,
        "energy": 59.529737,
        "activity_lines": [
          206.888329,
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          200.845094,
          197.23402
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 208.050003,
        "volume": 955,
        "typical_volume": 1768.95,
        "trend": 193.219832,
        "fair_value": 141.092532,
        "relative_strength": 8.337772,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.515861,
        "energy": 58.723584,
        "activity_lines": [
          207.074998,
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          202.006594,
          198.269924
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 203.574997,
        "volume": 3088,
        "typical_volume": 1781.2,
        "trend": 194.252666,
        "fair_value": 141.760994,
        "relative_strength": 4.378209,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.991807,
        "energy": 41.37957,
        "activity_lines": [
          205.871664,
          206.109998,
          202.628856,
          198.937999
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 211.725006,
        "volume": 103,
        "typical_volume": 1534.6,
        "trend": 195.274166,
        "fair_value": 142.473526,
        "relative_strength": 7.89032,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.300817,
        "energy": 49.306439,
        "activity_lines": [
          207.530001,
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          200.065247
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}