{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2470c8c6-decb-4a14-81d6-50c136c404c5", "symbol": "MAZE", "name": "Maze Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -34.482, "architecture_energy": 26.201, "architecture_maturity": 30.71, "architecture_confidence": 66.439, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.92, "rotation_up": 23.29, "upward_expansion": 14.4, "deceleration": 65.71, "rotation_down": 33.77, "downward_expansion": 59.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 28.052, 28.180182, 27.437238, 29.613806 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 28.65, "trend_reference": 33.295, "distance_from_trend": -0.13951, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 24.853313, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.152764, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -21.711856, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.363757, "excess_performance": -0.551211, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.13951, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.094285, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.152764, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.085983, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.217119, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004034, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.363757, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.076494, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1646747, "relative_activity": 0.449786, "balance": 1.076494, "dry_up": 0.495192, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.10634, "annualized_volatility": 0.758212, "from_high_reference": -0.465983, "from_low_reference": 1.236534 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.295, "fair_value_reference": 24.853313, "structural_low": 22.71, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 15.95, "volume": 1590822, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 13.38, "volume": 2813780, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-02-14", "close": 12.0, "volume": 1319883, 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null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 30.57, "volume": 3692862, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 28.12, "volume": 2422072, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 27.68, "volume": 1548297, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.92, "volume": 1634823, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.65, "volume": 1646747, "typical_volume": 3661176.6, "trend": 33.295, "fair_value": 24.853313, "relative_strength": -21.711856, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.481559, "energy": 26.201066, "activity_lines": [ 28.052, 28.180182, 27.437238, 29.613806 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }