{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "24750e5b-14dc-4bc0-989c-9840d311c408",
    "symbol": "MTRO",
    "name": "Metro Bank Holdings PLC",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 58.52,
    "architecture_energy": 46.544,
    "architecture_maturity": 70.723,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.004,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 17.27,
        "rotation_up": 47.8,
        "upward_expansion": 78.15,
        "deceleration": 69.37,
        "rotation_down": 25.56,
        "downward_expansion": 7.15
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        174.853333,
        173.149091,
        166.11619,
        156.780215
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 173.8,
    "trend_reference": 146.073333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.189813,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 91.161859,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.906499,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 20.434149,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.336923,
    "excess_performance": 0.285688,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.189813,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.150304,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.906499,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.127833,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.204341,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020663,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.336923,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.713155,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 13593446,
      "relative_activity": 3.57237,
      "balance": 0.713155,
      "dry_up": 1.491457,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.079318,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.382431,
      "from_high_reference": -0.063578,
      "from_low_reference": 0.768057
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 146.073333,
      "fair_value_reference": 91.161859,
      "structural_low": 105.599998,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 20,
        "median_return": 0.028363,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.025381,
        "regime_survival": 0.7,
        "best_return": 0.457143,
        "worst_return": -0.30721,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.169419,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.267606,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.111405,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.084754,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.373041,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.587277,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "color": "amber",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "fair_value": 90.305449,
        "relative_strength": 27.331551,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 56.935843,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "volume": 3006582,
        "typical_volume": 3584904.8,
        "trend": 144.433333,
        "fair_value": 90.732372,
        "relative_strength": 23.759592,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.629048,
        "energy": 52.762144,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 173.8,
        "volume": 13593446,
        "typical_volume": 3805162.1,
        "trend": 146.073333,
        "fair_value": 91.161859,
        "relative_strength": 20.434149,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}