{ "ticker": { "uuid": "24757580-f948-478d-b541-c59329a21b12", "symbol": "002213", "name": "Shenzhen Dawei Innovation Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 94.278, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -26.294, "architecture_energy": 57.746, "architecture_maturity": 11.221, "architecture_confidence": 66.629, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.65, "rotation_up": 14.29, "upward_expansion": 27.15, "deceleration": 49.5, "rotation_down": 68.9, "downward_expansion": 54.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.866666, 30.539455, 33.457048, 33.211398 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 30.17, "trend_reference": 32.276333, "distance_from_trend": -0.065259, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.175525, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.659925, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 4.517338, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.097091, "excess_performance": 0.089691, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.065259, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058993, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.659925, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.943907, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.045173, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.459037, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.097091, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.646052, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 90718158, "relative_activity": 0.874225, "balance": 0.646052, "dry_up": 0.770341, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.165294, "annualized_volatility": 0.757614, "from_high_reference": -0.34838, "from_low_reference": 0.846389 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.276333, "fair_value_reference": 18.175525, "structural_low": 20.709999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.039215, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.02672, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.179569, "worst_return": -0.23872, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.130017, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.087858, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.193165, "worst_return": 0.027006, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.236427, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.313074, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.978919, "worst_return": -0.033432, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 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"direction": -38.135462, "energy": 35.694041, "activity_lines": [ 31.744667, 34.349091, 35.399286, 34.087075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 26.93, "volume": 91799861, "typical_volume": 109621476.1, "trend": 32.195, "fair_value": 18.023876, "relative_strength": -2.214423, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.837416, "energy": 50.837368, "activity_lines": [ 29.387334, 32.705273, 34.677429, 33.75086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.799999, "volume": 76163467, "typical_volume": 108033338.7, "trend": 32.136667, "fair_value": 18.080189, "relative_strength": -5.283545, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.161289, "energy": 62.402527, "activity_lines": [ 27.529333, 31.105273, 33.853, 33.338279 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.17, "volume": 90718158, "typical_volume": 103769799.5, "trend": 32.276333, "fair_value": 18.175525, "relative_strength": 4.517338, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.293767, "energy": 57.746289, "activity_lines": [ 27.866666, 30.539455, 33.457048, 33.211398 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }