{ "ticker": { "uuid": "247e6f84-aaa9-4d1a-b0b2-8da9e0a3921c", "symbol": "6115", "name": "I-Sheng Electric Wire & Cable Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 57.924, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 32.525, "architecture_energy": 15.33, "architecture_maturity": 16.684, "architecture_confidence": 71.468, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.92, "rotation_up": 34.39, "upward_expansion": 57.62, "deceleration": 79.68, "rotation_down": 25.08, "downward_expansion": 18.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 45.443333, 45.561811, 45.439091, 45.223331 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 45.200001, "trend_reference": 44.95296, "distance_from_trend": 0.005496, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 44.232917, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.021863, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -28.125997, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.026474, "excess_performance": -0.414898, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.005496, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010774, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.021863, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01088, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.28126, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.063892, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.026474, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.170639, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 482277, "relative_activity": 0.510796, "balance": 1.170639, "dry_up": 0.779625, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.025141, "annualized_volatility": 0.105104, "from_high_reference": -0.042162, "from_low_reference": 0.051208 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 44.95296, "fair_value_reference": 44.232917, "structural_low": 43.186512, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.004445, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.016476, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.042945, "worst_return": -0.018939, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.022373, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.016933, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.034022, "worst_return": 0.00947, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.063581, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.051926, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.12347, "worst_return": -0.022727, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.533056, "energy": 17.944982, "activity_lines": [ 45.59, 45.662807, 45.437838, 45.204886 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 45.200001, "volume": 482277, "typical_volume": 944167.75, "trend": 44.95296, "fair_value": 44.232917, "relative_strength": -28.125997, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.52544, "energy": 15.330078, "activity_lines": [ 45.443333, 45.561811, 45.439091, 45.223331 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }