{ "ticker": { "uuid": "247f4967-6d64-4cc0-a78e-61d64afde50b", "symbol": "KC", "name": "Kingsoft Cloud Holdings\u00a0Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 92.932, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -39.046, "architecture_energy": 24.693, "architecture_maturity": 45.468, "architecture_confidence": 94.51, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.05, "rotation_up": 29.26, "upward_expansion": 17.99, "deceleration": 42.61, "rotation_down": 32.73, "downward_expansion": 65.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.976667, 10.450909, 11.551857, 12.228688 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 12.33, "trend_reference": 12.806667, "distance_from_trend": -0.03722, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.93109, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.380571, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.844761, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.046404, "excess_performance": -0.233857, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.03722, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027465, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.380571, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.493431, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.168448, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.15772, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.046404, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.483828, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11738196, "relative_activity": 1.681269, "balance": 0.483828, "dry_up": 1.094719, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.15263, "annualized_volatility": 0.735688, "from_high_reference": -0.334233, "from_low_reference": 0.476647 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.806667, "fair_value_reference": 8.93109, "structural_low": 8.35, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.03869, "positive_rate": 0.448276, "directional_follow_through": 0.551724, "median_excess_return": -0.048185, "regime_survival": 0.827586, "best_return": 0.506726, "worst_return": -0.442963, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.014489, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.047325, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 3.261017, "worst_return": -0.659722, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.037807, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.17469, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 5.9819, "worst_return": -0.849826, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"typical_volume": 7300326.15, "trend": 12.856667, "fair_value": 8.821603, "relative_strength": -29.559039, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.882131, "energy": 72.709307, "activity_lines": [ 9.836, 10.749273, 12.423429, 12.788882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 9.54, "volume": 7868316, "typical_volume": 7273727.9, "trend": 12.797667, "fair_value": 8.842949, "relative_strength": -34.866691, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.860754, "energy": 68.001987, "activity_lines": [ 9.724, 10.324182, 12.079524, 12.574903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.47, "volume": 4248947, "typical_volume": 7108582.45, "trend": 12.755667, "fair_value": 8.857821, "relative_strength": -33.435267, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.482399, "energy": 51.236062, "activity_lines": [ 9.668, 10.001636, 11.747714, 12.360215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.15, "volume": 6716734, "typical_volume": 6912078.1, "trend": 12.763, "fair_value": 8.888077, "relative_strength": -21.460345, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.080916, "energy": 35.319598, "activity_lines": [ 10.211333, 10.091091, 11.587905, 12.256624 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.33, "volume": 11738196, "typical_volume": 6981746.75, "trend": 12.806667, "fair_value": 8.93109, "relative_strength": -16.844761, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.045728, "energy": 24.693102, "activity_lines": [ 10.976667, 10.450909, 11.551857, 12.228688 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }