{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "248cc3f6-578b-427a-9fe6-8ea08e55ba4f",
    "symbol": "STT",
    "name": "State Street Corporation",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 68.532,
    "architecture_energy": 68.721,
    "architecture_maturity": 54.093,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.018,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.03,
        "rotation_up": 71.58,
        "upward_expansion": 87.67,
        "deceleration": 54.31,
        "rotation_down": 17.98,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        160.286665,
        156.355549,
        147.242586,
        138.639808
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 159.550003,
    "trend_reference": 128.139769,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.245125,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 87.279209,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.828041,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 13.70537,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.439273,
    "excess_performance": 0.265026,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.245125,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.141914,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.828041,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.244784,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.137054,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.070144,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.439273,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 5.0,
      "dry_up": 0.812808,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.031111,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.194248,
      "from_high_reference": -0.026541,
      "from_low_reference": 0.753092
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 128.139769,
      "fair_value_reference": 87.279209,
      "structural_low": 100.654225,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 26,
        "median_return": 0.018054,
        "positive_rate": 0.653846,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.653846,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006498,
        "regime_survival": 0.807692,
        "best_return": 0.099318,
        "worst_return": -0.17427,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.066947,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
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        "worst_return": -0.269427,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.201181,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.172334,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 93.346739,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 56.85,
        "trend": 108.560314,
        "fair_value": 79.886834,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 77.896596,
        "energy": 91.108632,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "trend": 111.023148,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 77.309658,
        "energy": 87.368718,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 113.605703,
        "fair_value": 81.822501,
        "relative_strength": 12.751968,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.191943,
        "energy": 90.727067,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 144.180893,
        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 115.079876,
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        "relative_strength": 12.330183,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 14.55,
        "trend": 118.193269,
        "fair_value": 83.468322,
        "relative_strength": 10.56796,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.812195,
        "energy": 92.59751,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 149.75,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 14.55,
        "trend": 119.703392,
        "fair_value": 84.035886,
        "relative_strength": 10.382528,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.903115,
        "energy": 94.390454,
        "activity_lines": [
          146.667019,
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          126.802152
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 156.399994,
        "volume": 129,
        "typical_volume": 21.0,
        "trend": 121.336703,
        "fair_value": 84.678795,
        "relative_strength": 16.309006,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 93.148582,
        "energy": 96.842525,
        "activity_lines": [
          150.382036,
          145.27363,
          136.139706,
          129.169675
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 159.550003,
        "volume": 66,
        "typical_volume": 24.3,
        "trend": 123.06254,
        "fair_value": 85.336327,
        "relative_strength": 20.344068,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.830926,
        "energy": 96.020732,
        "activity_lines": [
          154.060661,
          148.710016,
          139.199319,
          131.635049
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 163.149994,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 20.3,
        "trend": 124.861107,
        "fair_value": 86.008119,
        "relative_strength": 20.756947,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 92.403223,
        "energy": 97.101802,
        "activity_lines": [
          157.914675,
          152.199699,
          142.357148,
          134.221336
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 160.399994,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 20.3,
        "trend": 126.602584,
        "fair_value": 86.647665,
        "relative_strength": 18.219004,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.395003,
        "energy": 86.422348,
        "activity_lines": [
          159.719996,
          154.607653,
          144.968514,
          136.514168
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 159.550003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 20.3,
        "trend": 128.139769,
        "fair_value": 87.279209,
        "relative_strength": 13.70537,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.531997,
        "energy": 68.720687,
        "activity_lines": [
          160.286665,
          156.355549,
          147.242586,
          138.639808
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}