{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2498e983-c939-4b55-bd9d-236140e2995b",
    "symbol": "ROMER",
    "name": "Romerike Sparebank",
    "exchange": "OSL",
    "country": "NO",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 58.15,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 21.163,
    "architecture_energy": 12.185,
    "architecture_maturity": 28.327,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.926,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 54.72,
        "rotation_up": 28.2,
        "upward_expansion": 53.06,
        "deceleration": 86.88,
        "rotation_down": 29.07,
        "downward_expansion": 23.73
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        154.54267,
        154.514184,
        155.400572,
        153.79757
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 153.020004,
    "trend_reference": 149.75012,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.021836,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 120.334738,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.27162,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -3.794011,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.161652,
    "excess_performance": 0.036658,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021836,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052765,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.27162,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.11611,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.03794,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.056882,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.161652,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.444911,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 381,
      "relative_activity": 0.232757,
      "balance": 5.444911,
      "dry_up": 0.421376,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.033068,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.218303,
      "from_high_reference": -0.089167,
      "from_low_reference": 0.199235
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 149.75012,
      "fair_value_reference": 120.334738,
      "structural_low": 131.726181,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.016057,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002511,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.039548,
        "worst_return": -0.015007,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.024826,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.011454,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.050384,
        "worst_return": -0.126677,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.032877,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.040735,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.058924,
        "worst_return": -0.213343,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.201675,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.041739,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.279839,
        "worst_return": -0.173343,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-01-26",
        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.041264,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-06-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.007686,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-06-21",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.004237,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.024228,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.173264,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.017894,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.014584,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.008585,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.028231,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.003057,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.006901,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-03-06",
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        "return": 0.054131,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.012774,
        "active": true
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 157.979996,
        "volume": 968,
        "typical_volume": 5435.2,
        "trend": 138.926772,
        "fair_value": 114.868,
        "relative_strength": -1.924241,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 60.990743,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 159.979996,
        "volume": 1067,
        "typical_volume": 5274.9,
        "trend": 139.787253,
        "fair_value": 115.281839,
        "relative_strength": 1.89421,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 70.622923,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 826,
        "typical_volume": 5311.85,
        "trend": 140.478099,
        "fair_value": 115.649793,
        "relative_strength": -5.262481,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 41.600512,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 5564,
        "typical_volume": 5542.85,
        "trend": 141.187488,
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        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 45.954309,
        "energy": 34.494465,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 161.300003,
        "volume": 684,
        "typical_volume": 3104.6,
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        "relative_strength": 1.766673,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 54,
        "typical_volume": 3018.8,
        "trend": 143.163515,
        "fair_value": 116.834749,
        "relative_strength": 0.187122,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.682631,
        "energy": 37.354025,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 159.979996,
        "volume": 192,
        "typical_volume": 2915.8,
        "trend": 144.18537,
        "fair_value": 117.258869,
        "relative_strength": 1.392021,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "relative_strength": 0.001439,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 154.5,
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        "typical_volume": 2724.4,
        "trend": 145.690208,
        "fair_value": 118.023751,
        "relative_strength": 3.023391,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.265704,
        "energy": 28.920731,
        "activity_lines": [
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          151.233613
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 155.0,
        "volume": 1003,
        "typical_volume": 2405.1,
        "trend": 146.447863,
        "fair_value": 118.415947,
        "relative_strength": 1.155331,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.888311,
        "energy": 23.605436,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 151.520004,
        "volume": 53,
        "typical_volume": 2156.15,
        "trend": 147.088893,
        "fair_value": 118.796116,
        "relative_strength": -0.412973,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 16.837607,
        "energy": 16.041825,
        "activity_lines": [
          153.946667,
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          155.53711,
          152.161479
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 151.100006,
        "volume": 592,
        "typical_volume": 1922.15,
        "trend": 147.733436,
        "fair_value": 119.163313,
        "relative_strength": -1.912302,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 5.779134,
        "energy": 14.617692,
        "activity_lines": [
          152.64267,
          154.49091,
          155.289785,
          152.420261
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 155.0,
        "volume": 906,
        "typical_volume": 1831.2,
        "trend": 148.366619,
        "fair_value": 119.555509,
        "relative_strength": -1.833339,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 11.489539,
        "energy": 14.477057,
        "activity_lines": [
          153.230669,
          154.474546,
          155.353353,
          152.889071
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 158.580002,
        "volume": 880,
        "typical_volume": 1839.4,
        "trend": 149.151662,
        "fair_value": 119.960374,
        "relative_strength": -0.011906,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.567298,
        "energy": 15.234275,
        "activity_lines": [
          154.949336,
          155.05491,
          155.681,
          153.547999
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 153.020004,
        "volume": 381,
        "typical_volume": 1636.9,
        "trend": 149.75012,
        "fair_value": 120.334738,
        "relative_strength": -3.794011,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 21.163114,
        "energy": 12.18547,
        "activity_lines": [
          154.54267,
          154.514184,
          155.400572,
          153.79757
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}