{ "ticker": { "uuid": "24b04027-edb2-42d6-9cf3-6020cc567ead", "symbol": "301213", "name": "Sichuan Discovery Dream Science & Technology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.662, "architecture_energy": 55.193, "architecture_maturity": 44.986, "architecture_confidence": 76.494, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.12, "rotation_up": 14.31, "upward_expansion": 7.97, "deceleration": 48.89, "rotation_down": 67.36, "downward_expansion": 81.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 42.455334, 44.75, 47.091229, 51.369774 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 45.0, "trend_reference": 59.002623, "distance_from_trend": -0.237322, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 46.808458, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.038635, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.771816, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.38491, "excess_performance": -0.39231, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.237322, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.093127, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.038635, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.245404, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.277718, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025522, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.38491, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.4151, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15433844, "relative_activity": 1.678922, "balance": 1.4151, "dry_up": 1.32234, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.136804, "annualized_volatility": 0.743373, "from_high_reference": -0.601911, "from_low_reference": 0.330967 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 59.002623, "fair_value_reference": 46.808458, "structural_low": 33.810001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.035932, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": 5.4e-05, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.498884, "worst_return": -0.414424, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.0967, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.115903, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.075549, "worst_return": -0.239026, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.198597, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.128423, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.709806, "worst_return": -0.312612, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"direction": -76.831991, "energy": 81.13635, "activity_lines": [ 42.988, 45.920659, 48.486407, 53.505059 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 42.400002, "volume": 15319085, "typical_volume": 8927274.35, "trend": 59.80429, "fair_value": 46.787412, "relative_strength": -29.226769, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.272902, "energy": 65.869308, "activity_lines": [ 41.896001, 45.009035, 47.594509, 52.32489 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 45.0, "volume": 15433844, "typical_volume": 9192710.0, "trend": 59.002623, "fair_value": 46.808458, "relative_strength": -27.771816, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.662183, "energy": 55.19251, "activity_lines": [ 42.455334, 44.75, 47.091229, 51.369774 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }