{ "ticker": { "uuid": "24bbaf0d-3daf-4be2-a3a5-8b7a1f6dfd2e", "symbol": "AMPX", "name": "Amprius Technologies Inc.", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 77.01, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -36.545, "architecture_energy": 57.12, "architecture_maturity": 23.185, "architecture_confidence": 68.267, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.4, "rotation_up": 19.44, "upward_expansion": 20.38, "deceleration": 44.95, "rotation_down": 66.99, "downward_expansion": 62.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.481333, 11.517818, 13.969667, 14.627785 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 11.85, "trend_reference": 14.626333, "distance_from_trend": -0.189817, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.229625, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.902201, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.200663, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.031863, "excess_performance": -0.157488, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.189817, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.061597, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.902201, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.029003, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.172007, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.60533, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.031863, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.523912, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 41424748, "relative_activity": 1.074922, "balance": 0.523912, "dry_up": 0.821703, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.272046, "annualized_volatility": 1.052015, "from_high_reference": -0.510836, "from_low_reference": 0.862475 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.626333, "fair_value_reference": 6.229625, "structural_low": 8.435, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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"fair_value": 6.12392, "relative_strength": -9.333822, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.137835, "energy": 27.956261, "activity_lines": [ 14.290667, 15.854545, 16.751333, 15.922645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 11.53, "volume": 34631718, "typical_volume": 42906139.05, "trend": 14.459333, "fair_value": 6.147574, "relative_strength": -17.116453, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.324107, "energy": 45.548742, "activity_lines": [ 12.97, 14.892909, 16.279952, 15.734989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.16, "volume": 31818815, "typical_volume": 42693049.1, "trend": 14.486333, "fair_value": 6.163792, "relative_strength": -25.797124, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.857681, "energy": 57.935752, "activity_lines": [ 11.736667, 13.852, 15.668524, 15.457613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.24, "volume": 23639111, "typical_volume": 39876710.1, "trend": 14.518667, "fair_value": 6.175651, "relative_strength": -32.082044, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -46.225559, "energy": 66.740947, "activity_lines": [ 10.606667, 12.762727, 14.97219, 15.11914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.6, "volume": 29782731, "typical_volume": 38381459.8, "trend": 14.547333, "fair_value": 6.192381, "relative_strength": -30.383392, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -41.895912, "energy": 64.766001, "activity_lines": [ 10.058667, 11.877273, 14.343905, 14.801806 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.85, "volume": 41424748, "typical_volume": 38537446.45, "trend": 14.626333, "fair_value": 6.229625, "relative_strength": -17.200663, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.544584, "energy": 57.120334, "activity_lines": [ 10.481333, 11.517818, 13.969667, 14.627785 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }