{ "ticker": { "uuid": "24c066f8-2632-4001-9552-871820729666", "symbol": "SYZ", "name": "Sylogist Ltd.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.947, "architecture_energy": 62.089, "architecture_maturity": 12.953, "architecture_confidence": 88.781, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.69, "rotation_up": 10.59, "upward_expansion": 13.1, "deceleration": 37.89, "rotation_down": 65.07, "downward_expansion": 84.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.366, 3.49, 3.557333, 3.61344 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 3.37, "trend_reference": 3.794654, "distance_from_trend": -0.111908, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.592959, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.556168, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -39.836286, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.133659, "excess_performance": -0.25408, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.111908, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.150033, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.556168, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041552, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.398363, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075386, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.133659, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.530149, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 48300, "relative_activity": 0.373463, "balance": 0.530149, "dry_up": 0.426042, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.087651, "annualized_volatility": 0.543679, "from_high_reference": -0.634362, "from_low_reference": 0.115093 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.794654, "fair_value_reference": 7.592959, "structural_low": 3.03, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.020815, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": -0.030307, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.376357, "worst_return": -0.250909, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.068378, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.050986, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.41902, "worst_return": -0.328622, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.080619, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.137987, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.398486, "worst_return": -0.489594, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-06-14", "end": "2024-10-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.06468, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.064185, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.10978, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.097817, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.037933, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-08-15", 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"activity_lines": [ 3.737333, 3.665091, 3.666616, 3.81023 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 3.69, "volume": 33900, "typical_volume": 165735.0, "trend": 4.103697, "fair_value": 7.685264, "relative_strength": -39.66375, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -18.329249, "energy": 10.34324, "activity_lines": [ 3.727333, 3.672, 3.667095, 3.779206 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.41, "volume": 28500, "typical_volume": 149185.0, "trend": 4.029849, "fair_value": 7.66202, "relative_strength": -42.543551, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.968363, "energy": 27.241959, "activity_lines": [ 3.626667, 3.634182, 3.642905, 3.734451 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.31, "volume": 115300, "typical_volume": 148065.0, "trend": 3.952668, "fair_value": 7.640156, "relative_strength": -42.683953, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.504312, "energy": 44.467975, "activity_lines": [ 3.505333, 3.585636, 3.61081, 3.68801 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.3, "volume": 28300, "typical_volume": 144365.0, "trend": 3.873159, "fair_value": 7.61747, "relative_strength": -40.895062, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.800981, "energy": 59.816463, "activity_lines": [ 3.41, 3.530909, 3.579857, 3.645902 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.37, "volume": 48300, "typical_volume": 129330.0, "trend": 3.794654, "fair_value": 7.592959, "relative_strength": -39.836286, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.947138, "energy": 62.089295, "activity_lines": [ 3.366, 3.49, 3.557333, 3.61344 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }