{ "ticker": { "uuid": "24dae337-fadc-46e9-8d8e-6720f174e55f", "symbol": "NEWU11", "name": "Renda de Escritorios Fundo de Investimento Imobiliario - Cotas Fundo", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 48.215, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 30.294, "architecture_energy": 17.687, "architecture_maturity": 48.391, "architecture_confidence": 54.373, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.99, "rotation_up": 34.31, "upward_expansion": 60.08, "deceleration": 65.05, "rotation_down": 26.74, "downward_expansion": 17.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 112.346049, 112.836349, 112.199854, 110.474655 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 109.940002, "trend_reference": 108.07403, "distance_from_trend": 0.017266, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 84.410471, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.302445, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.358277, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.045953, "excess_performance": 0.103002, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.017266, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03588, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.302445, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.104556, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.023583, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006857, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.045953, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.16339, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 164, "relative_activity": 0.315082, "balance": 0.16339, "dry_up": 2.400576, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061347, "annualized_volatility": 0.22143, "from_high_reference": -0.062283, "from_low_reference": 0.42611 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 108.07403, "fair_value_reference": 84.410471, "structural_low": 91.227418, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": 0.01181, "positive_rate": 0.606061, "directional_follow_through": 0.606061, "median_excess_return": 0.01185, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.377392, "worst_return": -0.115526, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.036123, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.056167, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.644485, "worst_return": -0.120663, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.069211, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.037302, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.739917, "worst_return": -0.072384, "sufficient": true }, { 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113.080818, 112.447334, 110.458199, 108.61872 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 111.270796, "volume": 98, "typical_volume": 403.15, "trend": 106.77542, "fair_value": 83.269714, "relative_strength": 1.275297, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.912033, "energy": 32.363493, "activity_lines": [ 112.512705, 112.261241, 110.761572, 108.926605 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 117.18259, "volume": 339, "typical_volume": 363.0, "trend": 107.248992, "fair_value": 83.578923, "relative_strength": 8.892473, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.794026, "energy": 37.762026, "activity_lines": [ 113.937205, 113.181949, 111.596463, 109.598035 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 116.248624, "volume": 47, "typical_volume": 310.8, "trend": 107.691432, "fair_value": 83.882024, "relative_strength": 7.532853, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.33418, "energy": 37.413361, "activity_lines": [ 114.805607, 113.864857, 112.247235, 110.178656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 110.27722, "volume": 4448, "typical_volume": 512.5, "trend": 107.937815, "fair_value": 84.147359, "relative_strength": -0.360461, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.769217, "energy": 26.277557, "activity_lines": [ 113.518272, 113.411949, 112.258367, 110.345481 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 109.940002, "volume": 164, "typical_volume": 520.5, "trend": 108.07403, "fair_value": 84.410471, "relative_strength": 2.358277, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.29433, "energy": 17.686593, "activity_lines": [ 112.346049, 112.836349, 112.199854, 110.474655 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }