{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "24e9fd99-3947-45d7-9a68-030d8e6eb19e",
    "symbol": "AAVM",
    "name": "ALPHA ARCHITECT GLOBAL FACTOR EQUITY ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 73.621,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 51.114,
    "architecture_energy": 25.335,
    "architecture_maturity": 35.283,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.791,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 48.94,
        "rotation_up": 35.01,
        "upward_expansion": 58.09,
        "deceleration": 88.06,
        "rotation_down": 25.53,
        "downward_expansion": 15.09
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        33.798433,
        33.723231,
        33.766244,
        33.457981
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 34.5364,
    "trend_reference": 33.05388,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.044852,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 26.262086,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.315067,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -2.652312,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.057938,
    "excess_performance": -0.129515,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044852,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04804,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.315067,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.04398,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.026523,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.004114,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057938,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.869797,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 10256,
      "relative_activity": 0.858918,
      "balance": 2.869797,
      "dry_up": 0.775254,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.023779,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.173612,
      "from_high_reference": -0.008999,
      "from_low_reference": 0.295863
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 33.05388,
      "fair_value_reference": 26.262086,
      "structural_low": 30.17,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.007274,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000391,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.094588,
        "worst_return": -0.035307,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.018076,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.046924,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.097146,
        "worst_return": -0.144895,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.041165,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.081498,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.05133,
        "worst_return": -0.06644,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.000335,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.264308,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.039254,
        "worst_return": -0.038585,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-22",
        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.068062,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0249,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-06-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.033892,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.059521,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.004533,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.013325,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.012774,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.016988,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.057373,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.033913,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.157679,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "return": 0.113114,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": 0.02712,
        "active": true
      }
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 16625.55,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 25.779422,
        "relative_strength": -3.239359,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 13597.25,
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        "fair_value": 25.863522,
        "relative_strength": -3.690649,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 13581.85,
        "trend": 32.570622,
        "fair_value": 25.943065,
        "relative_strength": -5.549732,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.576413,
        "energy": 19.433138,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 33.1634,
        "volume": 6602,
        "typical_volume": 11608.4,
        "trend": 32.691969,
        "fair_value": 26.019906,
        "relative_strength": -2.638501,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 24.830162,
        "energy": 19.712792,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.468207,
          33.711256,
          33.589006,
          33.260915
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 33.4061,
        "volume": 6575,
        "typical_volume": 11307.95,
        "trend": 32.81108,
        "fair_value": 26.096656,
        "relative_strength": -0.399062,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 24.617469,
        "energy": 17.042998,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.406827,
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          33.617467,
          33.306988
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 33.5484,
        "volume": 13595,
        "typical_volume": 11816.0,
        "trend": 32.933333,
        "fair_value": 26.176144,
        "relative_strength": -0.580576,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 15.125337,
        "energy": 12.176873,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.439513,
          33.582765,
          33.651066,
          33.354557
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 34.5364,
        "volume": 10256,
        "typical_volume": 11940.6,
        "trend": 33.05388,
        "fair_value": 26.262086,
        "relative_strength": -2.652312,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.114217,
        "energy": 25.334583,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.798433,
          33.723231,
          33.766244,
          33.457981
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}