{ "ticker": { "uuid": "251c3f09-3814-471e-8018-49b36d8929e4", "symbol": "SOFF", "name": "Solstad Offshore ASA", "exchange": "OSL", "country": "NO", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 63.332, "architecture_energy": 65.939, "architecture_maturity": 13.081, "architecture_confidence": 79.723, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.56, "rotation_up": 75.13, "upward_expansion": 88.91, "deceleration": 43.22, "rotation_down": 11.31, "downward_expansion": 15.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 67.497773, 64.418291, 63.584078, 62.557996 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 68.300003, "trend_reference": 59.99024, "distance_from_trend": 0.138519, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 42.05698, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.623987, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 13.160202, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.371826, "excess_performance": 0.246833, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.138519, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.127391, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.623987, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039909, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.131602, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01123, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.371826, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.50919, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 321715, "relative_activity": 0.60042, "balance": 1.50919, "dry_up": 0.84048, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074554, "annualized_volatility": 0.402243, "from_high_reference": -0.024264, "from_low_reference": 0.710549 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 59.99024, "fair_value_reference": 42.05698, "structural_low": 47.322905, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.029224, "positive_rate": 0.541667, "directional_follow_through": 0.541667, "median_excess_return": 0.01749, "regime_survival": 0.708333, "best_return": 1.442708, "worst_return": -0.390192, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.018616, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.031306, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 3.536144, "worst_return": -0.39801, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.129837, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.051894, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 3.048193, "worst_return": -0.463184, "sufficient": true }, { 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"close": 63.799999, "volume": 691977, "typical_volume": 627102.45, "trend": 57.613147, "fair_value": 41.175154, "relative_strength": 10.084862, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.99804, "energy": 16.167854, "activity_lines": [ 60.862385, 60.84598, 62.006401, 60.649636 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 68.599998, "volume": 339967, "typical_volume": 588036.1, "trend": 58.493271, "fair_value": 41.468808, "relative_strength": 15.164796, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.865834, "energy": 35.295885, "activity_lines": [ 63.94402, 62.172295, 62.619093, 61.358465 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 68.099998, "volume": 447712, "typical_volume": 570070.75, "trend": 59.314008, "fair_value": 41.764001, "relative_strength": 13.436718, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.144859, "energy": 47.572446, "activity_lines": [ 66.153902, 63.345292, 63.120404, 61.978254 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 68.300003, "volume": 321715, "typical_volume": 535816.4, "trend": 59.99024, "fair_value": 42.05698, "relative_strength": 13.160202, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.332395, "energy": 65.938503, "activity_lines": [ 67.497773, 64.418291, 63.584078, 62.557996 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }