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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 82.901, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.296, "architecture_energy": 60.472, "architecture_maturity": 25.009, "architecture_confidence": 78.763, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.38, "rotation_up": 55.13, "upward_expansion": 85.47, "deceleration": 50.68, "rotation_down": 24.05, "downward_expansion": 12.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.507338, 10.504916, 10.488665, 10.478756 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 10.51, "trend_reference": 10.469301, "distance_from_trend": 0.003887, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.128418, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.037674, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.768851, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.004492, "excess_performance": -0.11593, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.003887, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002268, "read": "Rising" }, { 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10.455555, "fair_value": 10.095694, "relative_strength": -10.105002, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.054473, "energy": 78.603852, "activity_lines": [ 10.504008, 10.488766, 10.469997, 10.465014 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 10.490019, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 7505.0, "trend": 10.458735, "fair_value": 10.102174, "relative_strength": -9.976903, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.886366, "energy": 69.333275, "activity_lines": [ 10.501075, 10.492065, 10.472495, 10.467237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.51, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4670.0, "trend": 10.461592, "fair_value": 10.108782, "relative_strength": -9.275688, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.5541, "energy": 73.586901, "activity_lines": [ 10.504538, 10.497401, 10.47691, 10.470545 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.490019, "volume": 300, "typical_volume": 4665.0, "trend": 10.464112, "fair_value": 10.11534, "relative_strength": -9.297242, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.795682, "energy": 44.865551, "activity_lines": [ 10.499742, 10.49787, 10.479411, 10.472379 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.52, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4640.0, "trend": 10.467039, "fair_value": 10.121971, "relative_strength": -8.214049, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.792414, "energy": 52.338052, "activity_lines": [ 10.505341, 10.502919, 10.484709, 10.475984 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.51, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3810.0, "trend": 10.469301, "fair_value": 10.128418, "relative_strength": -10.768851, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.296162, "energy": 60.471796, "activity_lines": [ 10.507338, 10.504916, 10.488665, 10.478756 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }