{ "ticker": { "uuid": "252ab19c-ea1c-4d1c-b58f-376f35891d30", "symbol": "G1A", "name": "GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 44.577, "architecture_energy": 44.696, "architecture_maturity": 17.632, "architecture_confidence": 61.372, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.96, "rotation_up": 62.87, "upward_expansion": 50.55, "deceleration": 34.94, "rotation_down": 18.41, "downward_expansion": 13.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 62.440001, 61.512727, 59.773572, 59.702777 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 64.050003, "trend_reference": 59.837756, "distance_from_trend": 0.070394, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 48.12646, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.330869, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -12.886559, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.048648, "excess_performance": -0.125598, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.070394, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019846, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.330869, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060244, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.128866, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039742, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.048648, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 169, "relative_activity": 10.0, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 5.0, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044677, "annualized_volatility": 0.27703, "from_high_reference": -0.019893, "from_low_reference": 0.209383 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 59.837756, "fair_value_reference": 48.12646, "structural_low": 53.950001, "invalidation": "A decisive 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58.254566, 58.59832 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 55.549999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 17.5, "trend": 58.450641, "fair_value": 46.773065, "relative_strength": -23.630127, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.509002, "energy": 72.971717, "activity_lines": [ 55.036667, 56.134741, 57.890836, 58.406864 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 59.849998, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 58.579213, "fair_value": 46.929784, "relative_strength": -20.601943, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.621655, "energy": 26.269465, "activity_lines": [ 56.676666, 56.590821, 57.954574, 58.497145 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 59.450001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 58.650441, "fair_value": 47.081845, "relative_strength": -19.119896, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -23.746394, "energy": 17.601338, "activity_lines": [ 57.843333, 56.996514, 57.975821, 58.553325 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 63.549999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 58.882786, "fair_value": 47.270056, "relative_strength": -15.174143, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.784002, "energy": 36.832813, "activity_lines": [ 60.04, 58.177273, 58.3953, 58.869426 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 60.099998, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 59.063704, "fair_value": 47.435074, "relative_strength": -18.275932, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.931217, "energy": 35.032787, "activity_lines": [ 60.553332, 58.661818, 58.486781, 58.947955 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 60.200001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 59.216984, "fair_value": 47.593438, "relative_strength": -16.084163, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 20.545241, "energy": 36.496869, "activity_lines": [ 60.72, 59.129091, 58.605952, 59.021265 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 63.549999, "volume": 169, "typical_volume": 8.45, "trend": 59.47378, "fair_value": 47.771423, "relative_strength": -12.203218, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 40.25474, "energy": 53.541948, "activity_lines": [ 61.693333, 60.178181, 59.064189, 59.300814 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 61.299999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 8.45, "trend": 59.645796, "fair_value": 47.937915, "relative_strength": -14.730513, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 20.707765, "energy": 31.933086, "activity_lines": [ 61.669999, 60.658181, 59.288921, 59.418635 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 64.050003, "volume": 169, "typical_volume": 16.9, "trend": 59.837756, "fair_value": 48.12646, "relative_strength": -12.886559, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 44.576915, "energy": 44.695831, "activity_lines": [ 62.440001, 61.512727, 59.773572, 59.702777 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }