{ "ticker": { "uuid": "252ef27d-fa9c-4a26-8602-e31aab459025", "symbol": "MPL", "name": "Medibank Private Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 81.889, "architecture_energy": 87.571, "architecture_maturity": 28.143, "architecture_confidence": 86.324, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 1.9, "rotation_up": 79.01, "upward_expansion": 98.53, "deceleration": 39.79, "rotation_down": 14.1, "downward_expansion": 20.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.182667, 5.101636, 4.959476, 4.83008 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 5.28, "trend_reference": 4.6859, "distance_from_trend": 0.126785, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.015401, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.314937, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.518948, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.177421, "excess_performance": 0.113715, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.126785, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025708, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.314937, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.125797, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.065189, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079107, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.177421, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.919679, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28118745, "relative_activity": 1.096291, "balance": 1.919679, "dry_up": 1.027063, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.030667, "annualized_volatility": 0.137946, "from_high_reference": -0.00565, "from_low_reference": 0.300493 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.6859, "fair_value_reference": 4.015401, "structural_low": 4.06, "invalidation": "A sustained 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5.007091, 4.869476, 4.757311 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.17, "volume": 29511078, "typical_volume": 26622021.5, "trend": 4.668538, "fair_value": 4.001135, "relative_strength": 7.709409, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.143526, "energy": 82.045674, "activity_lines": [ 5.12, 5.047636, 4.911429, 4.790631 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.28, "volume": 28118745, "typical_volume": 25648982.4, "trend": 4.6859, "fair_value": 4.015401, "relative_strength": 6.518948, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.888767, "energy": 87.571172, "activity_lines": [ 5.182667, 5.101636, 4.959476, 4.83008 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }