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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 68.478, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.019, "architecture_energy": 30.092, "architecture_maturity": 33.687, "architecture_confidence": 79.096, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.02, "rotation_up": 27.02, "upward_expansion": 5.63, "deceleration": 52.18, "rotation_down": 43.99, "downward_expansion": 76.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 691.934668, 692.034118, 696.975345, 704.581262 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 705.0, "trend_reference": 720.94528, "distance_from_trend": -0.022117, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 567.664191, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.241931, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.143763, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.125896, "excess_performance": -0.071229, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.022117, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004312, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.241931, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0467, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.001438, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031593, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.125896, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 60.231638, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 75, "relative_activity": 0.031095, "balance": 60.231638, "dry_up": 0.032027, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.029673, "annualized_volatility": 0.278383, "from_high_reference": -0.134969, "from_low_reference": 0.261497 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 720.94528, "fair_value_reference": 567.664191, "structural_low": 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"typical_volume": 2900.15, "trend": 723.072947, "fair_value": 566.355564, "relative_strength": -2.245734, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.794172, "energy": 52.541412, "activity_lines": [ 685.536003, 689.951814, 696.854862, 705.747258 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 705.0, "volume": 75, "typical_volume": 2412.0, "trend": 720.94528, "fair_value": 567.664191, "relative_strength": -0.143763, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.019496, "energy": 30.092388, "activity_lines": [ 691.934668, 692.034118, 696.975345, 704.581262 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }