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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 66.134, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 36.261, "architecture_energy": 21.66, "architecture_maturity": 60.602, "architecture_confidence": 91.596, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.86, "rotation_up": 27.65, "upward_expansion": 61.82, "deceleration": 88.32, "rotation_down": 28.69, "downward_expansion": 14.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 411.727338, 413.616858, 408.301096, 406.012441 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 410.829987, "trend_reference": 403.36678, "distance_from_trend": 0.018502, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 302.165924, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.359617, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.902453, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.028322, "excess_performance": 0.082989, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.018502, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023778, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.359617, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048697, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.039025, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059259, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.028322, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.99047, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18200, "relative_activity": 3.687682, "balance": 3.99047, "dry_up": 1.595378, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.027652, "annualized_volatility": 0.196953, "from_high_reference": -0.055563, "from_low_reference": 0.284674 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 403.36678, "fair_value_reference": 302.165924, "structural_low": 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59.196795, "energy": 67.271835, "activity_lines": [ 417.670019, 412.989069, 407.261495, 405.007895 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 409.640015, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4037.45, "trend": 402.981176, "fair_value": 300.843668, "relative_strength": 3.723247, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.256772, "energy": 37.922922, "activity_lines": [ 414.009142, 413.378421, 407.746381, 405.506066 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 410.829987, "volume": 18200, "typical_volume": 4935.35, "trend": 403.36678, "fair_value": 302.165924, "relative_strength": 3.902453, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.260867, "energy": 21.66005, "activity_lines": [ 411.727338, 413.616858, 408.301096, 406.012441 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }