{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2549570a-d309-4f9b-bd8d-200976582882",
    "symbol": "AWSRIW",
    "name": "UBS MSCI ACWI Socially Responsible UCITS ETF USD acc",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 83.625,
    "architecture_energy": 68.799,
    "architecture_maturity": 88.421,
    "architecture_confidence": 67.736,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.63,
        "rotation_up": 53.91,
        "upward_expansion": 78.5,
        "deceleration": 71.5,
        "rotation_down": 29.78,
        "downward_expansion": 16.5
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        22.009667,
        21.957364,
        21.430881,
        20.797275
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 22.440001,
    "trend_reference": 20.075933,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.117756,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 17.438744,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.28679,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 4.478552,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.202315,
    "excess_performance": 0.119431,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.117756,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057689,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.28679,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.078669,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044786,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.026403,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.202315,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.01335,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2484,
      "relative_activity": 1.28738,
      "balance": 5.01335,
      "dry_up": 0.625032,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019299,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.127568,
      "from_high_reference": -0.039795,
      "from_low_reference": 0.289062
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 20.075933,
      "fair_value_reference": 17.438744,
      "structural_low": 17.754,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 32,
        "median_return": 0.011306,
        "positive_rate": 0.59375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.59375,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002573,
        "regime_survival": 0.71875,
        "best_return": 0.07001,
        "worst_return": -0.089205,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.033569,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.011429,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.210411,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.036945,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.010089,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
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        "worst_return": -0.129223,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.017158,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.064142,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "direction": 50.980469,
        "energy": 76.282496,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 2339.25,
        "trend": 18.9324,
        "fair_value": 16.79468,
        "relative_strength": 7.118839,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 61.610891,
        "energy": 86.058976,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 700,
        "typical_volume": 2374.25,
        "trend": 19.001734,
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        "relative_strength": 6.643275,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.857262,
        "energy": 94.591721,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "trend": 18.910734,
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        "relative_strength": 5.318888,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.354382,
        "energy": 94.248235,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 2311.15,
        "trend": 18.980933,
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        "relative_strength": 6.418545,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 94.903533,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 2393.95,
        "trend": 19.0714,
        "fair_value": 16.978974,
        "relative_strength": 8.245872,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 84.608922,
        "energy": 93.310818,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 21.459999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2393.95,
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        "relative_strength": 7.12807,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": 9.471237,
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        "energy": 97.375233,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 21.719999,
        "volume": 956,
        "typical_volume": 1652.1,
        "trend": 19.4195,
        "fair_value": 17.127404,
        "relative_strength": 4.482432,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.755896,
        "energy": 90.529006,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.635999,
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          20.350738,
          19.901761
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 22.065001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1652.1,
        "trend": 19.529933,
        "fair_value": 17.179615,
        "relative_strength": 4.13827,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.096248,
        "energy": 93.616852,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.834,
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          20.072439
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 22.285,
        "volume": 1202,
        "typical_volume": 1712.2,
        "trend": 19.6471,
        "fair_value": 17.23375,
        "relative_strength": 6.378596,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.628114,
        "energy": 93.843446,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.031667,
          21.656181,
          20.8042,
          20.250185
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 21.754999,
        "volume": 2340,
        "typical_volume": 1829.2,
        "trend": 19.754,
        "fair_value": 17.283731,
        "relative_strength": 2.956907,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.304721,
        "energy": 71.085489,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.975666,
          21.737909,
          20.966928,
          20.386178
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 21.93,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1829.2,
        "trend": 19.866733,
        "fair_value": 17.333692,
        "relative_strength": 3.793786,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.700443,
        "energy": 67.077007,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.958333,
          21.824818,
          21.131957,
          20.526565
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 21.59,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1805.3,
        "trend": 19.967267,
        "fair_value": 17.383064,
        "relative_strength": 2.015464,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.995525,
        "energy": 63.422054,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.838,
          21.822454,
          21.248776,
          20.637744
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 22.440001,
        "volume": 2484,
        "typical_volume": 1929.5,
        "trend": 20.075933,
        "fair_value": 17.438744,
        "relative_strength": 4.478552,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.62536,
        "energy": 68.798686,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.009667,
          21.957364,
          21.430881,
          20.797275
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}