{ "ticker": { "uuid": "25581257-e0e8-46d3-9cfe-dbf1526ecc99", "symbol": "4958", "name": "Zhen Ding Technology Holding Limited", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 24.235, "architecture_energy": 23.046, "architecture_maturity": 81.0, "architecture_confidence": 93.379, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.04, "rotation_up": 18.0, "upward_expansion": 52.43, "deceleration": 93.95, "rotation_down": 37.55, "downward_expansion": 20.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 471.0, 507.781818, 501.927999, 447.656919 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 489.5, "trend_reference": 369.759089, "distance_from_trend": 0.323835, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 163.347965, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.99667, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 38.649423, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.707945, "excess_performance": 1.266573, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.323835, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.547004, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.99667, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.129954, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.386494, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.248677, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.707945, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.080143, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 220259919, "relative_activity": 1.178099, "balance": 1.080143, "dry_up": 1.069739, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.195208, "annualized_volatility": 0.847224, "from_high_reference": -0.257208, "from_low_reference": 2.747878 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 369.759089, "fair_value_reference": 163.347965, "structural_low": 156.43072, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.000787, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": -0.045189, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.391459, "worst_return": -0.069277, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.088414, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.036258, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.951557, "worst_return": -0.129518, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.143683, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.188278, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.698795, "worst_return": -0.037975, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.017937, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2024-12-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.046808, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.097561, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.060534, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.111651, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": 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30.152162, "energy": 23.356108, "activity_lines": [ 489.833333, 528.575641, 494.073054, 431.065799 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 473.0, "volume": 195604650, "typical_volume": 183982948.45, "trend": 358.226389, "fair_value": 160.828059, "relative_strength": 40.655952, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.552995, "energy": 25.746415, "activity_lines": [ 473.0, 516.328697, 497.84558, 439.187654 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 489.5, "volume": 220259919, "typical_volume": 186962213.65, "trend": 369.759089, "fair_value": 163.347965, "relative_strength": 38.649423, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.234532, "energy": 23.04638, "activity_lines": [ 471.0, 507.781818, 501.927999, 447.656919 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }