{ "ticker": { "uuid": "25626f49-68ba-4e06-a264-a41dbdf2c828", "symbol": "C6E", "name": "Amundi Index Solutions - AMUNDI STOXX EUROPE 600 ESG - UCITS ETF DR - EUR (C)", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.057, "architecture_energy": 63.514, "architecture_maturity": 42.608, "architecture_confidence": 84.365, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.42, "rotation_up": 56.67, "upward_expansion": 81.47, "deceleration": 59.79, "rotation_down": 25.02, "downward_expansion": 10.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 164.602668, 163.769729, 160.740318, 158.09668 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 167.190002, "trend_reference": 155.49021, "distance_from_trend": 0.075245, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 132.370175, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.263049, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.334077, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.087398, "excess_performance": 0.034087, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.075245, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038372, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.263049, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.063001, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.043341, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013353, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.087398, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.957225, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 27076, "relative_activity": 0.844156, "balance": 0.957225, "dry_up": 0.955381, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020266, "annualized_volatility": 0.161504, "from_high_reference": -0.004644, "from_low_reference": 0.239523 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 155.49021, "fair_value_reference": 132.370175, "structural_low": 137.516205, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": 0.005742, "positive_rate": 0.567568, "directional_follow_through": 0.567568, "median_excess_return": -0.000254, "regime_survival": 0.783784, "best_return": 0.073199, "worst_return": -0.054438, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.024193, "positive_rate": 0.818182, "directional_follow_through": 0.818182, "median_excess_return": 0.007836, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.065494, "worst_return": -0.044737, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.068129, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.039251, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.154552, "worst_return": -0.125076, "sufficient": true }, { 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2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.968696, "energy": 70.699325, "activity_lines": [ 163.243997, 162.227592, 158.869929, 156.698305 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 163.960007, "volume": 20899, "typical_volume": 32288.1, "trend": 154.984216, "fair_value": 131.998926, "relative_strength": 4.969839, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.676069, "energy": 54.873427, "activity_lines": [ 163.447334, 162.764584, 159.691809, 157.30921 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 167.190002, "volume": 27076, "typical_volume": 32074.65, "trend": 155.49021, "fair_value": 132.370175, "relative_strength": 4.334077, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.056682, "energy": 63.514358, "activity_lines": [ 164.602668, 163.769729, 160.740318, 158.09668 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }