{ "ticker": { "uuid": "25712157-9046-47c8-a1b3-df211cf656e0", "symbol": "TCF", "name": "Theracryf Plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -25.289, "architecture_energy": 42.675, "architecture_maturity": 7.811, "architecture_confidence": 70.358, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.9, "rotation_up": 16.21, "upward_expansion": 23.19, "deceleration": 50.65, "rotation_down": 65.95, "downward_expansion": 55.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.00203, 0.002098, 0.002175, 0.00217 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.002, "trend_reference": 0.002157, "distance_from_trend": -0.072643, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.006865, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.708659, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -14.518768, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.047619, "excess_performance": -0.098854, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.072643, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020505, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.708659, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05575, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.145188, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.071646, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.047619, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.871853, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4331868, "relative_activity": 0.200072, "balance": 1.871853, "dry_up": 0.494128, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.112692, "annualized_volatility": 0.431721, "from_high_reference": -0.333333, "from_low_reference": 0.142857 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.002157, "fair_value_reference": 0.006865, "structural_low": 0.00182, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.063291, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.023604, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.027027, "worst_return": -0.181818, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.054545, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.03655, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": -0.109091, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.29977, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.307631, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.181818, "worst_return": -0.417722, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"trend": 0.002158, "fair_value": 0.007345, "relative_strength": -9.456822, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -14.426537, "energy": 17.981172, "activity_lines": [ 0.002147, 0.002215, 0.002225, 0.002197 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.0021, "volume": 7071080, "typical_volume": 21818771.0, "trend": 0.002162, "fair_value": 0.00716, "relative_strength": -10.198735, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.168402, "energy": 22.30659, "activity_lines": [ 0.00212, 0.002186, 0.002216, 0.002194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.00195, "volume": 13090772, "typical_volume": 22461744.05, "trend": 0.00216, "fair_value": 0.007009, "relative_strength": -17.000596, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.012979, "energy": 41.388364, "activity_lines": [ 0.00206, 0.002135, 0.002193, 0.00218 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.002, "volume": 4331868, "typical_volume": 21651588.2, "trend": 0.002157, "fair_value": 0.006865, "relative_strength": -14.518768, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.288659, "energy": 42.67515, "activity_lines": [ 0.00203, 0.002098, 0.002175, 0.00217 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }