{ "ticker": { "uuid": "25748bbc-7516-4961-9685-3efeb283532a", "symbol": "4907", "name": "Fu Yu Property Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.783, "architecture_energy": 72.771, "architecture_maturity": 23.787, "architecture_confidence": 63.247, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.2, "rotation_up": 73.43, "upward_expansion": 89.11, "deceleration": 45.03, "rotation_down": 9.08, "downward_expansion": 15.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 44.636667, 43.197273, 41.461904, 41.040645 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 45.900002, "trend_reference": 40.896666, "distance_from_trend": 0.122341, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 49.963212, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.081324, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -21.655576, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.108696, "excess_performance": -0.332676, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.122341, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008726, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.081324, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.129097, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.216556, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.157637, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.108696, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.381619, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 911365, "relative_activity": 1.774859, "balance": 1.381619, "dry_up": 1.763625, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.065527, "annualized_volatility": 0.31491, "from_high_reference": -0.101761, "from_low_reference": 0.307692 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 40.896666, "fair_value_reference": 49.963212, "structural_low": 35.099998, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.00905, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.384615, "median_excess_return": -0.002672, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.121827, "worst_return": -0.144645, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.036246, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.005234, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.16152, "worst_return": -0.125176, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.01109, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.159341, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.131701, "worst_return": -0.400844, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -4.746141, "energy": 15.136252, "activity_lines": [ 40.963332, 40.38909, 39.827142, 40.208171 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 41.299999, "volume": 349000, "typical_volume": 375142.15, "trend": 41.166666, "fair_value": 49.708472, "relative_strength": -27.615078, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -1.16963, "energy": 9.706667, "activity_lines": [ 40.949999, 40.669999, 39.96619, 40.210537 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 42.400002, "volume": 1044414, "typical_volume": 419589.85, "trend": 40.949999, "fair_value": 49.777714, "relative_strength": -24.164151, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.393959, "energy": 18.371616, "activity_lines": [ 41.383333, 41.106363, 40.205714, 40.290107 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 47.599998, "volume": 1317607, "typical_volume": 475717.7, "trend": 40.916666, "fair_value": 49.876204, "relative_strength": -16.49739, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 56.336707, "energy": 54.824374, "activity_lines": [ 43.503333, 42.415454, 40.930476, 40.719139 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 45.900002, "volume": 911365, "typical_volume": 513485.95, "trend": 40.896666, "fair_value": 49.963212, "relative_strength": -21.655576, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.783167, "energy": 72.770952, "activity_lines": [ 44.636667, 43.197273, 41.461904, 41.040645 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }