{ "ticker": { "uuid": "257621f1-00ae-4eca-8dca-125f3039e502", "symbol": "HXL", "name": "Hexcel Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.883, "architecture_energy": 64.385, "architecture_maturity": 39.144, "architecture_confidence": 84.01, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.86, "rotation_up": 66.77, "upward_expansion": 86.28, "deceleration": 49.23, "rotation_down": 14.26, "downward_expansion": 12.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 104.437333, 102.268364, 97.688559, 94.424277 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 103.43, "trend_reference": 90.783439, "distance_from_trend": 0.139305, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 68.942826, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.500229, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 13.903763, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.207582, "excess_performance": 0.081957, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.139305, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.104665, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.500229, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.071581, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.139038, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.059152, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.207582, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.716539, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4409959, "relative_activity": 0.854807, "balance": 0.716539, "dry_up": 1.134173, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067333, "annualized_volatility": 0.325354, "from_high_reference": -0.074328, "from_low_reference": 0.74104 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 90.783439, "fair_value_reference": 68.942826, "structural_low": 76.11892, 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.125431, "energy": 85.717638, "activity_lines": [ 103.948667, 100.305818, 95.506276, 92.667734 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 102.95, "volume": 7465431, "typical_volume": 5274264.35, "trend": 90.016501, "fair_value": 68.705641, "relative_strength": 18.103709, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.530728, "energy": 69.667589, "activity_lines": [ 104.327333, 101.395818, 96.631743, 93.55889 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 103.43, "volume": 4409959, "typical_volume": 5159012.75, "trend": 90.783439, "fair_value": 68.942826, "relative_strength": 13.903763, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.883055, "energy": 64.38539, "activity_lines": [ 104.437333, 102.268364, 97.688559, 94.424277 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }