{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "258a7e2a-4134-48c5-8893-659535bb25c3",
    "symbol": "TGS",
    "name": "Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA ADR",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch",
    "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch",
    "confidence": 52.981,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -51.23,
    "architecture_energy": 20.286,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.435,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.86,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 53.83,
        "rotation_up": 25.63,
        "upward_expansion": 9.83,
        "deceleration": 44.94,
        "rotation_down": 40.99,
        "downward_expansion": 67.17
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        30.193333,
        30.218727,
        30.320476,
        30.536882
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 28.79,
    "trend_reference": 30.623333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.059867,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 23.334744,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.233783,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -12.046882,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.021414,
    "excess_performance": -0.147039,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.059867,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002606,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.233783,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.107389,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.120469,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032323,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021414,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.811824,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1296375,
      "relative_activity": 0.819776,
      "balance": 0.811824,
      "dry_up": 0.62149,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.097472,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.379371,
      "from_high_reference": -0.207976,
      "from_low_reference": 0.45846
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 30.623333,
      "fair_value_reference": 23.334744,
      "structural_low": 27.74,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": 0.034824,
        "positive_rate": 0.611111,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.611111,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012096,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.239829,
        "worst_return": -0.193667,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.096647,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.07271,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.396015,
        "worst_return": -0.138672,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.214829,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.235481,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.758406,
        "worst_return": -0.119732,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.300906,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.183412,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.995516,
        "worst_return": 0.088553,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-12-15",
        "end": "2023-12-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.025823,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-01-05",
        "end": "2024-02-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.056446,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-02-16",
        "end": "2024-04-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.376113,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-04-12",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.031953,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.256538,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.334594,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.110733,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.188657,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-09-26",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.026484,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.021844,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-19",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.084047,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.048049,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.11929,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.016399,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "volume": 1427305,
        "typical_volume": 1262445.0,
        "trend": 30.013,
        "fair_value": 21.779808,
        "relative_strength": -7.338848,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 11.515581,
        "energy": 13.814931,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.705333,
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          30.925484
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 29.35,
        "volume": 2665544,
        "typical_volume": 1363535.8,
        "trend": 30.246333,
        "fair_value": 21.883846,
        "relative_strength": -8.814549,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -7.929012,
        "energy": 18.654337,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.923333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 29.42,
        "volume": 1082552,
        "typical_volume": 1392145.5,
        "trend": 30.485333,
        "fair_value": 21.992115,
        "relative_strength": -8.284531,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -17.998736,
        "energy": 22.8405,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.562667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 29.07,
        "volume": 2909260,
        "typical_volume": 1495651.6,
        "trend": 30.705,
        "fair_value": 22.099615,
        "relative_strength": -9.554471,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -30.191156,
        "energy": 33.357208,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.326,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 1545152.3,
        "trend": 30.703333,
        "fair_value": 22.217051,
        "relative_strength": -4.387775,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -9.991736,
        "energy": 13.94632,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.860667,
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          30.763905,
          30.76228
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 29.51,
        "volume": 912061,
        "typical_volume": 1540101.65,
        "trend": 30.732667,
        "fair_value": 22.324808,
        "relative_strength": -6.598978,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -50.750122,
        "energy": 25.15333,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.818,
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          30.68529
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 2422900,
        "typical_volume": 1616580.15,
        "trend": 30.817333,
        "fair_value": 22.451346,
        "relative_strength": 4.173132,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 21.975994,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 31.6,
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        "typical_volume": 1615011.2,
        "trend": 30.89,
        "fair_value": 22.569359,
        "relative_strength": -1.155256,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 5.962289,
        "energy": 10.99346,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.333333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 1258824,
        "typical_volume": 1614723.2,
        "trend": 30.838333,
        "fair_value": 22.671731,
        "relative_strength": -4.501997,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -5.109035,
        "energy": 6.849914,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.962,
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          30.827429,
          30.812387
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 28.4,
        "volume": 1215017,
        "typical_volume": 1616852.1,
        "trend": 30.741,
        "fair_value": 22.765705,
        "relative_strength": -10.540137,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.923522,
        "energy": 20.951026,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.095333,
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          30.655075
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 30.69,
        "volume": 1171653,
        "typical_volume": 1648754.4,
        "trend": 30.703667,
        "fair_value": 22.880192,
        "relative_strength": -4.652243,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -39.865196,
        "energy": 19.410035,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.170667,
          30.315091,
          30.578429,
          30.651785
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 29.75,
        "volume": 1207787,
        "typical_volume": 1655355.55,
        "trend": 30.644333,
        "fair_value": 22.983077,
        "relative_strength": -6.043811,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -43.850478,
        "energy": 27.023993,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.854,
          30.234545,
          30.475048,
          30.590258
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 30.48,
        "volume": 736051,
        "typical_volume": 1622834.6,
        "trend": 30.624333,
        "fair_value": 23.098654,
        "relative_strength": -3.053133,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -42.269101,
        "energy": 24.736523,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.001333,
          30.279455,
          30.440571,
          30.579656
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 31.83,
        "volume": 691027,
        "typical_volume": 1578590.25,
        "trend": 30.658667,
        "fair_value": 23.228718,
        "relative_strength": 0.297759,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 9.741891,
        "energy": 6.256225,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.673333,
          30.550545,
          30.52781,
          30.657441
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 28.79,
        "volume": 1296375,
        "typical_volume": 1581377.75,
        "trend": 30.623333,
        "fair_value": 23.334744,
        "relative_strength": -12.046882,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.230336,
        "energy": 20.285735,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.193333,
          30.218727,
          30.320476,
          30.536882
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}