{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "258ae120-8722-42d7-b31b-a220a609bd55",
    "symbol": "DUN",
    "name": "Dundas Minerals Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 0.499,
    "architecture_energy": 10.825,
    "architecture_maturity": 52.805,
    "architecture_confidence": 41.78,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 67.89,
        "rotation_up": 21.69,
        "upward_expansion": 36.22,
        "deceleration": 68.92,
        "rotation_down": 33.11,
        "downward_expansion": 37.55
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.048867,
        0.049218,
        0.049429,
        0.049452
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.049,
    "trend_reference": 0.048833,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.003413,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.037716,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.299191,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 10.675327,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.195122,
    "excess_performance": 0.131416,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003413,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069343,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.299191,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.145,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.106753,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.298679,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.195122,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.662996,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 311240,
      "relative_activity": 0.268936,
      "balance": 1.662996,
      "dry_up": 1.225738,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.047096,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.575385,
      "from_high_reference": -0.155172,
      "from_low_reference": 2.0625
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.048833,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.037716,
      "structural_low": 0.04,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.021277,
        "positive_rate": 0.545455,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003758,
        "regime_survival": 0.818182,
        "best_return": 0.166667,
        "worst_return": -0.210526,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.076033,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.054429,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.27027,
        "worst_return": -0.351351,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.055644,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.073204,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.405405,
        "worst_return": -0.294118,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.147059,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.249807,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.147059,
        "worst_return": -0.147059,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-05-19",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.766667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.107143,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.204545,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.055556,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.117647,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.285714,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.333333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.37931,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.177778,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-12-19",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.135135,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-16",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.205128,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.042553,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 0.08,
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        "typical_volume": 395827.95,
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 1113252.5,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 1032936.35,
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        "fair_value": 0.038107,
        "relative_strength": 17.902255,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.05,
        "volume": 4361411,
        "typical_volume": 1211534.95,
        "trend": 0.0486,
        "fair_value": 0.037915,
        "relative_strength": 18.19374,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 16.292548,
        "energy": 16.308265,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.048867,
          0.049327,
          0.049438,
          0.049426
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.049,
        "volume": 311240,
        "typical_volume": 1157303.25,
        "trend": 0.048833,
        "fair_value": 0.037716,
        "relative_strength": 10.675327,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 0.499105,
        "energy": 10.825488,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.048867,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}